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Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction 3-5-24 Picks

Detroit Pistons (9-51) vs. Miami Heat (34-26)
March 5, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -11.5; Over/Under: +220.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Pistons need a win after losing 8 of their last 9 games. The Miami Heat look to stay hot after winning 8 of their last 10 games. Here’s a Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat prediction.

Detroit Pistons Betting Preview

The Detroit Pistons recently lost to the Magic and Cavs while beating the Bulls. The Detroit Pistons are averaging 112.1 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 121 points on 49.2 percent shooting. Cade Cunningham is averaging 22.2 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Jaden Ivey is averaging 15 points and 3.6 assists. Simone Fontecchio is the third double-digit scorer and Jalen Duren is grabbing 11.8 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 37.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat recently beat the Jazz and Trail Blazers while losing to the Nuggets. The Miami Heat are averaging 110.6 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 109.9 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 21.8 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 20.8 points and 5.3 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 81.9 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Team Facts

  • The Heat have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the Heat’s last seven games.
  • Each of the Heat’s last four games as favorites following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Detroit Pistons Team Facts

  • The Pistons have lost each of their last 21 games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Pistons have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Heat.
  • Each of the Pistons’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat prediction

The Miami Heat are obviously the better team, capable of blowing the doors off at home. However, the Heat also have a reputation of playing down to their competition and even losing some of these games. When the Heat and Pistons played in October, Miami won by just one point. The Heat needed a big comeback to recently beat the Jazz. Also, the Heat goes on the road to play the Mavs and Thunder after this, so there is a look ahead factor. I just don’t like the Heat in the massive favorite role. I’ll take the points in this spot.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Detroit Pistons +11.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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