Bucks vs Warriors Prediction 10/30/25 NBA Picks Today

The Milwaukee Bucks play host to the Golden State Warriors at the Fiserv Forum on Thursday night. Here’s a Bucks vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Bucks vs Warriors Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors have been in fine form as they’ve won four of their first five games and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after routing the Clippers in a 98-79 home win on Tuesday. Jimmy Butler III led the team with 21 points, five rebounds and five assists, Stephen Curry added 19 points with eight assists while Quinten Post and Brandin Podziemski each scored 12 points.

As a team, the Warriors shot 45 percent from the field and 17 of 45 from the 3-point line. However, this game was more about their defense as they trailed going into halftime, before they restricted the Clippers to just 30 points in the second half to pull off the impressive home win.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks have been on a nice run as they’ve won three of their first four games overall and they will be eager to stay hot after taking down the Knicks in a 121-111 home win on Tuesday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with a monster game of 37 points with eight rebounds and seven assists on 16 of 22 shooting. Ryan Rollins added 25 points on an efficient eight of 11 shooting, while Gary Trent Jr chipped in with 11 points, but no other player finished in double figures in scoring.

As a team, the Bucks shot a healthy 54 percent from the field and 14 of 34 from the 3-point line as they withstood an early barrage from the Knicks and clawed their way back from a 14-point deficit. They outscored the Knicks by 62-40 in the second half to make it look easy in the end.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The Bucks have won 16 of their last 17 home games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have lost seven of their last eight games against Central Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites following a home win.
• The Bucks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won each of their last 11 Thursday games as favorites.
• The Bucks have lost four of their last five games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last five games against the Bucks.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Warriors’ last six games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Bucks’ last seven home games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

• Ryan Rollins ranks T1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
• Giannis Antetokounmpo is the only player to have recorded a 30-point, 20-rebound game this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Stephen Curry ranks T1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
• Draymond Green has recorded five games with 3+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.3).
• The Bucks rank 1st in the league for Q1 opponent points per game this season (24.3).
• The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (17.4).
• The Warriors rank 1st in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (100.0%).

Bucks vs Warriors Prediction

The Warriors have again ruled out De’Anthony Melton, and they have Moses Moody listed as questionable, while the Bucks have again ruled out Kevin Porter Jr who is dealing with an ankle sprain. Two of the form teams in the league collide in what should be a great contest, and surprisingly it’s the Bucks who open as underdogs at home despite their recent form.

The Warriors looked great in their dominant win over the Clippers and they’ve beaten the Bucks in the last three meetings overall, but I really like this new-look Bucks squad. They just beat the Knicks as underdogs in their last game, and I think they can repeat that effort in this matchup.