Thunder vs Wizards Prediction 10/30/25 NBA Picks Today
Washington Wizards (1-3) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (5-0)
October 30, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -15.5; Over/Under: 231.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Wizards and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Thursday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs Wizards Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Wizards Pick.
Washington Wizards Betting Preview
The Washington Wizards lost to the Hornets and 76ers, and they play the Magic next. The Wizards have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
The Washington Wizards are averaging 121 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 129.5 points on 47.8 percent shooting. Kyshawn George is averaging 20.3 points and 9.3 rebounds, while Tre Johnson is averaging 16.3 points and 2 assists. Alex Sarr is the third double-digit scorer, and Khris Middleton is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Washington Wizards are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 71.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Washington Wizards are allowing 38 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.5 rebounds per game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Kings and Mavs, and then play the Pelicans next. The Thunder look for back-to-back 6-0 starts to the NBA season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 118.2 points on 45. 6percent shooting and allowing 110.8 points on 42 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 34.8 points and 5.4 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 23 points and 10.3 rebounds. Ajay Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Wiggins is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 28.8 percent from beyond the arc and 86.4 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 29 games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Wizards have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Wizards have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Paycom Center.
Why the Washington Wizards will win
- The Wizards have won each of their last two games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Thunder have lost four of their last six games as favorites following a home win.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games following a home win.
- The road team has covered the spread in four of the Wizards’ last five games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last seven games between the Wizards and Thunder have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the Wizards’ last five games have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Thunder rank T1st in the league for H2 win percentage this season (80.0%).
- The Thunder rank 29th in the league for three-point percentage this season (28.8%).
- The Wizards rank 30th in the league for opponent points per game this season (129.5).
- The Wizards have suffered the largest comeback loss when leading through Q3 this season – led by 16 points vs 76ers on October 28.
Thunder vs Wizards Injury Report
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Kenrich Williams, Nikola Topic, Jalen Williams, and Chet Holmgren. Isaiah Joe is questionable with a knee injury.
Marvin Bagley III is questionable for the Wizards with an ankle injury.
Thunder vs Wizards Prediction
I’m not excited to lay double-digit chalk with a Thunder team that’s not covering numbers and is still banged up. However, the Wizards remain awful across the board and are 1-3 ATS on the season despite being in the underdog spot a lot. The Thunder have won 6 straight games against OKC and has covered 5 of those wins. These meetings haven’t been close over the years. Even with half the roster on the injury report, this should be an effortless win for the Thunder. I’ll lay the number.