Spurs vs Heat Prediction 10/30/25 NBA Picks Today

The Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs meet Thursday in NBA action at the Frost Bank Center. Here’s a Spurs vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Spurs vs Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Hornets and Knicks, and they play the Lakers next. The Heat have won 11 their last 16 regular season games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 131.5 points on 50.8 percent shooting and allowing 115.8 points on 42.4 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 24 points and 7.3 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 19.3 points and 3 assists. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Simone Fontecchio is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 40.8 percent from beyond the arc and 82.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.8 rebounds per game.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs beat the Nets and Raptors, and they play the Suns next. The Spurs look for their first 5-0 start in franchise history.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 121 points on 52.4 percent shooting and allowing 104.5 points on 41.6 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 31 points and 13.8 rebounds, while Stephon Castle is averaging 18.3 points and 6 assists. Devin Vassell is the third double-digit scorer and Dylan Harper is dishing 4.8 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 39.3 percent from beyond the arc and 73 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.5 rebounds per game.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The favorites have won each of the Spurs’ last eight games at Frost Bank Center.
• The Heat have lost 11 of their last 13 road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Spurs have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Spurs have lost each of their last seven night games against Heat teams that held a winning record.
• The Heat have won 10 of their last 11 night games against the Spurs.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against Southeast Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Spurs’ last six games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Heat’s last nine road games have gone OVER the total points line.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

• Victor Wembanyama ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per game (4.8) this season.
• Devin Vassell ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (6.0) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Davion Mitchell has recorded four games with 6+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
• Bam Adebayo is one of only four qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds per game (9.0) and free-throw percentage (91.3%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Spurs rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+16.5).
• The Spurs rank 1st in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (2.5).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (131.5).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (47.3).

Spurs vs Heat Injury Report

The Spurs will be without Kelly Olynyk, De’Aaron Fox, Luke Kornet, Lindy Waters III, and Jeremy Sochan.

The Heat will be without Tyler Herro, Terry Rozier, and Kasparas Jakucionis. Norman Powell is doubtful, while Nikola Jovic is questionable.

Spurs vs Heat Prediction

If forced to pick a side, I’d lean toward the Heat and the points with the way they’re playing right now. The Heat are lighting it up offensively, defending well, and they’re doing this without Herro, and a recent game without Powell. It’s surely turned heads. However, I’m rolling with the over. The Heat are first in the league in scoring, and top-five in field goal percentage and three-point percentage. The Spurs are top-10 in shooting and 11th in scoring. This should be a fast-paced game and a lot of scoring. This should be a treat to watch. Give me the over.