Oklahoma City Thunder (36-8) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (18-24)
January 21, 2026 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks +9.5; Over/Under: 226.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma City Thunder invade the Fiserv Forum to battle the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday night. Here’s a Bucks vs Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Bucks vs Thunder Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been on fire lately as they’ve won 10 of their last 13 games overall and they will be eager to stay hot after taking down the Cavaliers in a 136-104 road win on Monday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 30 points on 12 of 20 shooting, Chet Holmgren added 28 points with eight rebounds and two blocks on 11 of 16 shooting while Luguentz Dort chipped in with 18 points on six of seven shooting. As a team, the Thunder shot 56 percent from the field and 23 of 47 from the 3-point line as they caught fire early with 66 points in the first half to take a 15-point lead into halftime. But that was only the beginning as they dominated the fourth quarter by 45-25 to secure yet another blowout win on the road.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks have been struggling lately as they’ve dropped four of their last six games overall, but they can get something going after they snapped a three-game losing streak with a 112-110 road win over the Hawks on Monday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 21 points, 17 rebounds and six assists, Bobby Portis added 19 points off the bench while AJ Green drained six 3-pointers to finish with 18 points. As a team, the Bucks shot 49 percent from the field and 16 of 36 from the 3-point line as they dominated the first half by 54-38 to open up a 23-point lead. But they squandered that lead and they looked headed for another defeat before they went on a pivotal 7-2 run late in the fourth quarter to reclaim the lead and escape with the narrow road win.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Bucks’ last five games.
- The Thunder have lost three of their last five games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs against Northwest Division opponents.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 24 road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Bucks have lost seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the last eight games between the Thunder and Bucks.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games against Western Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bucks’ last six home games against the Thunder have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Thunder’s last four road games against the Bucks following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts
- Bobby Portis ranks 1st amongst qualified players for 3P% (47.4%) this season.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks 1st in the league for points in the paint (540) this season.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has recorded 42 games with 3+ assists this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
- Chet Holmgren is one of only two players to have made 9+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.5).
- The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throw percentage this season (73.5%).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (121.4).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (108.0).
Bucks vs Thunder Prediction
The Thunder are still missing Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein and Nikola Topic with Jaylin Williams listed as questionable, while the Bucks are keeping an eye on Kevin Porter Jr and Myles Turner who are both questionable. This is definitely a game where you should check the lineups before tipoff given the injury cloud hanging over both teams. With that being said, these two squads are trending in opposite directions, so while the Bucks are certainly tempting with the points at home, I prefer a play on the red-hot Thunder. They should win this one easily if they play anything like they did in their last game on Monday.
