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Nuggets vs Timberwolves Pick – NBA Predictions & Odds 4/16/23

Minnesota Timberwolves (42-40) vs Denver Nuggets (53-29)
April 16, 2023 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets -7.5; Over/Under: 224.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets meet Sunday in Game 1 of the NBA West First Round Playoffs at the Ball Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 115.8 points on 49 percent shooting and allowing 115.8 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 24.6 points and 5.7 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 20.4 points and 4.9 assists. Mike Conley is the third double-digit scorer and Rudy Gobert is grabbing 11.8 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 75.5 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.9 rebounds per game.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 115.8 points on 50.4 percent shooting and allowing 112.5 points on 47.8 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 20 points and 4 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.1 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

The Timberwolves are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 Sunday games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games and 18-8 ATS in their last 26 home games. The under is 6-2 in Timberwolves last 8 overall. The under is 11-2 in Nuggets last 13 overall. The Timberwolves are 24-7 ATS in the last 31 meetings in Denver and 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

The Denver Nuggets have been fabulous at home both SU and ATS this season, so the spread isn’t a surprise. However, the Nuggets coasted in the second half of the season and haven’t played much serious basketball in weeks. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played every other day, gained experience in big games, and have a bit of rhythm going. If there was a spot for the Timberwolves to steal a game and make this series interesting, this would be it. Give me the points with the Timberwolves.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves +7.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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