
Pacers vs Bucks Prediction 4/19/25 NBA Picks Today
Milwaukee Bucks (48-34) vs. Indiana Pacers (50-32)
April 19, 2025 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Indiana Pacers -5.5; Over/Under: 224
(Get latest betting odds)
The Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers meet Saturday in the NBA playoffs Game 1 at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Pacers vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Pacers vs Bucks Pick.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks head into the playoffs riding an eight-game winning streak. The Bucks are in the playoffs for a ninth straight season and haven’t lost a game since March 30.
The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 115.5 points on 48.6 percent shooting and allowing 113 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 30.4 points and 11.9 rebounds, while Damian Lillard is averaging 24.9 points and 4.7 rebounds. Kyle Kuzma is the third double-digit scorer, and Bobby Portis is grabbing 8.4 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.7 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free-throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.
Indiana Pacers Betting Preview
The Indiana Pacers enter the playoffs wins in 13 of their last 16 games. The Pacers are in the playoffs back-to-back years and have lost two home games since February 26.
The Indiana Pacers are averaging 117.2 points on 49.1 percent shooting and allowing 115.4 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.5 points and 7 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 18.6 points and 3.5 rebounds. Benedict Mathurin is the third double-digit scorer, and Myles Turner is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Indiana Pacers will win
- The Bucks have lost each of their last 11 games as road underdogs after winning as underdogs.
- The Pacers have won each of their last seven games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse after coming off overtime.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six playoff games following a win.
- The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last four playoff home games.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Bucks have won each of their last eight games.
- The Pacers have lost each of their last five Game 1s of a playoff series.
- The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 games against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
Indiana Pacers Player Facts
- Tyrese Haliburton ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (5.6) this season.
- Myles Turner ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for Blocks Per Game (2.0) this season.
Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts
- Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks 1st in the league for points in the paint (1308) this season.
- Kevin Porter Jr. is one of only two players to have recorded a triple-double off the bench this season.
Pacers vs Bucks Injury Report
The Pacers will be without Isaiah Jackson.
The Milwaukee Bucks will be without Tyler Smith and Damian Lillard.
Pacers vs Bucks Prediction
The Pacers have been one of the best teams in the league under the 2025 calendar, and nearly full strength at home, it makes sense they’re respectable favorites. However, the Bucks have won four of the last six games against the Pacers, which includes a seven-point win about a month ago. Lillard won’t be back until likely game two, but they’ll still have the best player on the court.
There’s value to getting points in the playoffs with the team that has the best player. Also, the Bucks have covered each of their last six games as an underdog, and each of those last three covers were outright wins. Despite all of the wins, the Pacers are 36-45-1 ATS on the season. Only the Kings, Pelicans, Wizards, Suns, and 76ers have a worse cover percentage than the Pacers. Give me the points.