Suns vs Heat Prediction 1/25/26 NBA Picks Today

The Miami Heat travel to the Mortgage Matchup Center to do battle with the Phoenix Suns on Sunday night. Here’s a Suns vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Suns vs Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat haven’t been at their best as they’ve lost six of their last 10 games overall, but they will be feeling better after they smashed the Jazz in a 147-116 win last night. Bam Adebayo led the team with 26 points and 15 rebounds, Nikola Jovic added 23 points off the bench, Pelle Larsson scored 20 points on seven of 11 shooting while Andrew Wiggins chipped in with 17 points and six assists. As a team, the Heat shot 44 percent from the field and 19 of 47 from the 3-point line as they took control of the contest with a dominant 38-18 second quarter domination to take a 21-point lead into halftime. Before they exploded for 39 points in the fourth quarter to secure one of their best wins of the season.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Phoenix Suns have been in fine form as they’ve reeled off six wins from their last nine games overall. They are looking to bounce back in this one after having their three-game win streak halted by the Hawks in a 110-103 road defeat on Friday. Devin Booker led the team with 31 points on 12 of 21 shooting, Collin Gillespie and Grayson Allen each scored 16 points while Dillon Brooks chipped in with 11 points on four of 18 shooting. As a team, the Suns shot 44 percent from the field and 11 of 34 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in control when they dominated the third quarter by 32-20 to take the lead into the fourth quarter. They went ice-cold and scored just 12 points to allow the Hawks off the hook.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The Suns have won each of their last 20 games as home favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Heat have lost each of their last seven road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Suns have covered the spread in each of their last six home games.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Suns have lost four of their last five games against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Heat have won 13 of their last 17 road games against the Suns.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Sunday games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Heat’s last seven games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Suns’ last six home games against the Heat following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Phoenix Suns Player Facts

• Mark Williams ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for FG% (65.2%) this season.
• Grayson Allen ranks 7th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.1) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Norman Powell ranks 7th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (3.8) this season.
• Bam Adebayo ranks 3rd amongst qualified Forwards for rebounds per game (9.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Suns have suffered the largest comeback loss when leading through Q3 this season – led by 18 points vs Hawks on November 16.
• The Suns rank 2nd in the league for steals per game this season (10.3).
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (81.0%).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.9).

Suns vs Heat Prediction

The Heat are still shorthanded with Kel’el Ware, Tyler Herro and Davion Mitchell all out, while the Suns have ruled out Devin Booker with Jalen Green listed as questionable. The Heat haven’t been able to hit their stride this season, but they would’ve taken plenty of confidence from their dominant win over the Jazz last night. However, the Suns are still the favorites in this matchup as they’ve been one of the more consistent teams all season. They could have Jalen Green return for this game, so I will stick with the more reliable Suns to take care of business at home.