Pistons vs Heat Prediction 1/1/26 NBA Picks Today

The Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons meet Thursday in NBA action at the Little Caesars Arena. Here’s a Pistons vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Pistons vs Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Nuggets and Pacers, and they play the Timberwolves next. The Heat have lost 8 of their last 12 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.2 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 117.6 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23.7 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 23.2 points and 2.3 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game.

Detroit Pistons Betting Preview

The Detroit Pistons lost to the Clippers, beat the Lakers, and they play the Cavs next. The Pistons have won 8 of their last 11 games.

The Detroit Pistons are averaging 118.8 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 112.9 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Cade Cunningham is averaging 26.5 points and 6.3 rebounds, while Jalen Duren is averaging 18.2 points and 1.8 assists. Tobias Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Duncan Robinson is grabbing 2.9 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 74.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Detroit Pistons will win

• The Pistons have won each of their last eight games at Little Caesars Arena following a win.
• The Heat have lost each of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Pistons have covered the spread in five of their last six games against Heat teams that held a winning record.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Pistons have lost seven of their last eight Thursday games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last six games between the Heat and Pistons.
• The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games following a road win.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Heat’s last eight Thursday games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Pistons’ last eight games as favorites against the Heat have gone OVER the total points line.

Detroit Pistons Player Facts

• Jalen Duren has recorded the most field goal attempts without a three-point attempt (329) of any player in the league this season.
• Cade Cunningham has recorded 7+ assists in eight consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Davion Mitchell has recorded seven games with 5+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
• Dru Smith ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (3.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pistons rank 1st in the league for opponent assists per game this season (23.5).
• The Pistons rank 1st in the league for blocks per game this season (6.2).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.1).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.7).

Pistons vs Heat Injury Report

Caris LeVert is doubtful for the Pistons. Tobias Harris is doubtful.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier, Pelle Larsson, and Tyler Herro. Simone Fontecchio is questionable.

Pistons vs Heat Prediction

The Pistons are playing the better ball and should be favored at home, but I’m leaning toward the points. The Pistons haven’t been covering numbers lately, and they’re likely down one of their better players in Harris. The Heat are coming off a feel good win over the Nuggets, which could be a turning point to getting back on track. Also, the underdog is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 games between the Heat and Pistons. The Heat have found their spark offensively again. Give me the points with the Heat.