Rockets vs Thunder Prediction 4/4/25 NBA Picks Today

The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Houston Rockets duke it out at the Toyota Center on Friday night. Here’s a Rockets vs Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Rockets vs Thunder Pick.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been on a tear as they’ve won 18 of their last 19 games overall and they will be aiming for a 12th straight victory after routing the Pistons in a 119-103 home win on Wednesday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 33 points, six rebounds and three assists, Jalen Williams added 23 points on nine of 17 shooting while Chet Holmgren chipped in with 22 points, 11 rebounds and six blocks. As a team, the Thunder shot 43 percent from the field and 10 of 38 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 41 points in the first quarter to take an early double-digit lead. Before they opened the third quarter with a 10-0 run to take full control of the contest.

Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets have been on fire as they’ve won 13 of their last 15 games overall and they will be looking to stay hot after making light work of the lowly Jazz in a 143-105 home win on Wednesday. Jalen Green led the team with 22 points, Dillon Brooks added 21 points while Alperen Sengun tallied 15 points with 14 rebounds and nine assists. As a team, the Rockets shot 53 percent from the field and 19 of 45 from the 3-point line as they jumped all over the Jazz from the start and took a 70-46 lead into halftime. The Rockets were able to rest their starters early, but that didn’t stop them from piling on the points with 41 points in the fourth quarter to make it a complete blowout in the end.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Rockets have won each of their last seven games following a home win.
• The Thunder have lost seven of their last eight night games at Toyota Center.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the Thunder’s last four games.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games at Toyota Center.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 11 games.
• The Rockets have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last 11 games.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (48.8).
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (14.8).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+13.4).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (10.4).

The Thunder are still missing Alex Ducas, Ousmane Dieng and Jaylin Williams, while the Rockets expect to have a full squad for this one. The Thunder are sitting pretty atop the NBA standings with a comfortable margin over everyone else, but that hasn’t stopped them from piling on the wins. The Rockets are coming into this one with plenty of confidence as they’ve been playing some of their best basketball of the season and they have all their players back healthy. The Thunder were always going to open as favorites as they’ve won three of four meetings over the Rockets this season, but I am expecting a close contest, so I will back the Rockets with any points I can get.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Houston +6.5

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