Rockets vs Warriors Prediction 4/30/25 NBA Picks Today

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets meet Wednesday in the NBA playoffs Game 5 at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Rockets vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Rockets vs Warriors Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors have a chance to make the second round for an eighth straight playoff appearance. The Warriors have won 11 of their last 15 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 100.5 points on 43.4 percent shooting and allowing 98.3 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 26 points and 6 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 18.3 points and 4 assists. Brandin Podziemski is the third double-digit scorer, and Pat Spencer is grabbing 1 rebound. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets need a win to force a game 6 on Friday. The Rockets have lost six of their last seven games overall.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 98.3 points on 43.2 percent shooting and allowing 100.5 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Alperen Sengun is averaging 22.3 points and 11.5 rebounds, while Jalen Green is averaging 15.5 points and 5.3 rebounds. Fred VanVleet is the third double-digit scorer, and Dillon Brooks is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 63.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 38.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Rockets have won each of their last 11 Wednesday games at Toyota Center.
• The Warriors have lost four of their last five playoff road games.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven night games following a home win.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in five of their last six games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a loss.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Rockets have lost seven of their last eight playoff games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs following a home win.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven home games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Alperen Sengun ranks 5th in the league for points in the paint (1012) this season.
• Amen Thompson ranks 2nd amongst qualified Guards for FG% (55.7%) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (93.3%) this season.
• Draymond Green is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.

Rockets vs Warriors Injury Report

The Warriors don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Rockets will be without Jae’Sean Tate due to an ankle injury.

Rockets vs Warriors Prediction

The Rockets are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, where 30 of their 53 wins have come. However, this line is disrespectful toward the Warriors, a team that’s won seven of the last 10 games against the Rockets. This series has been competitive, and the Warriors have gotten the best of most of the games. There’s a clear gap in playoff experience, and that’s key down the stretch of tight games.

The Rockets have had issues finding easy offense in this series, and they’re 2-6 ATS in their last eight games when favorites of four or more points. It would surprise nobody if the Warriors ended this series on the road, something they’ve done time and time again over the last decade. Give me the points, and I’ll probably be on the ML as well.