Minnesota Timberwolves (27-14) vs. San Antonio Spurs (28-13)
January 17, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: San Antonio Spurs -6.5; Over/Under: 228.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Timberwolves travel to the Frost Bank Arena to battle the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday night. Here’s a Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Spurs vs Timberwolves Pick.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been in stellar form as they’ve won six of their last eight games overall. They will be hoping to bounce back in this one after having their two-game win streak snapped by the Rockets in a 110-105 road defeat last night. Julius Randle led the team with 39 points on 14 of 25 shooting, Naz Reid added 25 points with nine rebounds and four assists off the bench while Jaden McDaniels chipped in with 15 points, seven rebounds and four assists. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 46 percent from the field and 11 of 30 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 34 points in the first quarter thanks to a hot start from Randle. However, with the scores tied early in the fourth quarter, it was the Rockets who used a pivotal 9-1 run to pull ahead for good.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs have been in decent shape as they’ve won five of their last nine games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after blowing past the Bucks in a 119-101 win on Thursday. Victor Wembenyama led the team with 22 points, 10 rebounds and two blocks, Stephon Castle added 19 points with 10 assists on six of nine shooting while De’Aaron Fox chipped in with 18 points and four assists. As a team, the Spurs shot 51 percent from the field and 16 of 37 from the 3-point line as they took control of the contest with a 35-point burst in the second quarter. Before they dominated the third quarter by 40-16 to lead by as many as 39 points at one stage.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Timberwolves have lost each of their 11 previous games at Frost Bank Center following a road loss.
- The Spurs have won 19 of their last 20 games against the Timberwolves at Frost Bank Center following a win.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games following a home win.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Timberwolves have won seven of their last eight night games.
- The Spurs have lost each of their last five games against Timberwolves teams that held a winning record.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Spurs’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Timberwolves’ last six road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Victor Wembanyama ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per game (2.7) this season.
- Julian Champagnie is one of only seven players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Rudy Gobert ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (71.3%) this season.
- Julius Randle is one of only two players in the league to have recorded 12+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (10.1).
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.7).
- The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for H2 win percentage this season (73.8%).
- The Timberwolves have used only five different starting fives this season – fewest in the league.
Spurs vs Timberwolves Prediction
The Timberwolves are still shorthanded with Anthony Edwards ruled out, while the Spurs have ruled out Devin Vassell with Stephon Castle listed as questionable. These teams last met on Sunday, and it was the Timberwolves who beat the Spurs by 104-103 thanks to a clutch shot from Anthony Edwards, but he is going to be missing for this meeting which is significant. The Timberwolves are still dangerous if Randle has another big game, but with the Timberwolves playing their second game of a back to back set, I am confident the Spurs can take advantage. They can earn the win and cover at home in this spot.
