San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 10/20/26 NBA Picks Today

The Oklahoma City Thunder were primed for another championship run last season as they reeled off 64 wins to secure the top seed overall. They kept their high standards on defense despite a long list of injuries throughout the entire season and to nobody’s surprise it was Shai Gilgeous-Alexander who led the team with averages of 31.1 points and 6.6 assists per game. Chet Holmgren averaged 17.1 points, 8.9 rebounds and 1.9 blocks per game, Jalen Williams played just 33 games but averaged 17.1 points and 5.5 assists per game while Ajay Mitchell averaged 13.6 points and 3.6 assists per game. In the offseason, the Thunder decided to move on from Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe and Aaron Wiggins which makes them thin at the wing spots, but they already know they have more than enough to contend for a championship if they can just stay healthy long enough.

Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs were able to take the leap and prove themselves as true contenders after racking up 62 wins in the regular season and taking down the Thunder, before they ultimately fell short in a 4-1 NBA Finals loss to the Knicks that was much closer than the final score suggests. Victor Wembenyama led the team with averages of 25.0 points, 11.5 rebounds, 3.1 assists and 3.1 blocks per game, De’Aaron Fox averaged 18.6 points and 6.2 assists per game while Stephon Castle averaged 16.7 points, 5.3 rebounds and 7.4 assists per game. The Spurs weren’t too busy in the offseason, but they did acquire Tobias Harris to help space out the floor while drafting Dylan Harper to pair with Stephon Castle.

The Thunder are missing a couple role players with Thomas Sorber and Nikola Topic both ruled out, while the Spurs have already ruled out Tobias Harris who is dealing with a calf strain. These teams met a total of 12 times last season with the Spurs winning eight of those meetings, but the Thunder have been great in season openers as they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine season-opening games, but they’ve also lost their last four road games against the Spurs. You could make the argument for either side here, but the results don’t lie, the Spurs have had the better of the Thunder lately and I think they kick off their campaign with a statement win at home.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: San Antonio -2.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks