NBA Picks

Thunder vs Bucks Prediction 2/3/25 NBA Picks Today

Milwaukee Bucks (26-20) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (38-9)
February 3, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5; Over/Under: 233.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Bucks and the Oklahoma City Thunder do battle at the Paycom Center on Monday night. Here’s a Thunder vs Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Bucks Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks

The Milwaukee Bucks have been in poor form as they’ve lost four of their last five games overall and they will be hoping to avoid a fourth straight defeat after getting mauled by the Grizzlies in a 132-119 home loss last night. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 30 points, 11 rebounds, and seven assists, Khris Middleton added 20 points off the bench while Damian Lillard and Brook Lopez scored 15 points each. As a team, the Bucks shot 48 percent from the field and 20 of 45 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in control when they exploded for 41 points in the third quarter to lead by 10 points, only to get blown out by 39-22 in a nightmare of a fourth quarter to lose by double digits in the end.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been in great shape as they’ve won eight of their last 11 games overall and they will be eager to stay hot after blowing past the Kings in a 144-110 home win on Saturday. Aaron Wiggins led the team with 31 points, 14 rebounds, and three assists, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 29 points with nine assists while Luguentz Dort chipped in with 20 points, seven rebounds, and two blocks. As a team, the Thunder shot 53 percent from the field and 19 of 46 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 36 points in the first quarter before they dominated the second quarter by 46-24 to put the game to bed early.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won 19 of their last 20 games at Paycom Center when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Bucks have lost nine of their last 10 road games following a home loss.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Bucks’ last three games.
  • The Thunder have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games following a win.
  • The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Thunder.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (104.7).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+12.3).
  • The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.5).
  • The Bucks rank 1st in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.9).

Thunder vs Bucks Prediction

The Bucks could again be missing Bobby Portis due to personal reasons, while the Thunder are still playing without Chet Holmgren with Cason Wallace and Jalen Williams both listed as questionable. You really see the Bucks as such heavy underdogs, but they just got smashed by the shorthanded Grizzlies and now have to play their second game of a back-to-back set against the red-hot Thunder who just smashed the Kings by 34 points in their last outing. The line scares me a bit in this one, but the Thunder are just on fire this season and I think they get the win and cover at home in a statement win.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Milwaukee +10.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

Related Articles

Back to top button