Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction 11/26/25 NBA Picks Today

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Timberwolves Pick.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves lost to the Suns and Kings, and they play the Celtics next. The Timberwolves have won 8 of their last 12 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 120.7 points on 50 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.3 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 25.5 points and 6.2 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Donte DiVincenzo is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 39.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.4 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Trail Blazers and Jazz, and then play the Suns next. The Thunder have won 21 of their last 22 regular season games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 122.7 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 106.3 points on 42.6 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.9 points and 6.6 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 19.3 points and 7.8 rebounds. Ajay Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Wiggins is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 85.5 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 13 home games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Timberwolves have lost seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won each of their last three games as underdogs after losing as favorites.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last four games against the Thunder after losing as favorites.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Timberwolves’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Thunder’s last three home games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Cason Wallace ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.4) this season.
• Chet Holmgren is the only player to have made 9+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Rudy Gobert ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (73.3%) this season.
• Anthony Edwards has scored 35+ points in two consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (105.7).
• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+16.9).
• The Timberwolves have used only three different starting fives this season – fewest in the league.
• The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (76.5%).

Thunder vs Timberwolves Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Nikola Topic, and Jalen Williams. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is questionable with an illness.

The Timberwolves don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction

The Thunder continue to win at an insane rate, but they’re just 10-8 ATS on the season. OKC isn’t covering numbers the way it has in recent years. The Timberwolves are as healthy as they’ve been all year, and they should have a nasty taste in their mouth after blowing a big lead to the Kings. The Timberwolves are one team that’s had some recent success against the Thunder, winning 4 of the last 10 meetings. We’re also seeing SGA on the injury report and while this line suggests he’s going to play, he’s clearly not 100 percent. Give me the points with the Timberwolves.