Timberwolves vs Suns Prediction 3/28/25 NBA Picks Today

The Phoenix Suns invade the Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday night. Here’s a Timberwolves vs Suns Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs Suns Pick.

The Phoenix Suns have been in pretty good form as they’ve won five of their last seven games overall. They will be hoping to bounce back in this one after having their four-game win streak snapped by the Celtics in a 132-102 loss on Wednesday. Kevin Durant led the team with 30 points on 11 of 16 shooting, Devin Booker added 14 points with seven rebounds and 10 assists, and Nick Richards chipped in with 10 points, but no other player scored more than eight points. As a team, the Suns shot just 41 percent from the field and 13 of 41 from the 3-point line as they struggled to keep pace with the hot-shooting Celtics from the start. They were always fighting an uphill battle after trailing by 73-54 going into halftime. Devin Booker struggled all night as he shot just four of 13 from the field and one of six from the 3-point line, while Ryan Dunn shot just two of nine from the field for his six points. The Suns will face the Rockets and Knicks following this one.

Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have cooled off since their eight-game win streak as they’ve lost three of their past four games. They will hope for a better result after getting trampled by the Pacers in a 119-103 road defeat on Monday. Naz Reid led the team in scoring with 20 points on eight of 13 shooting off the bench, Anthony Edwards added 17 points, while Rudy Gobert chipped in with 16 points, 16 rebounds, and three assists. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 48 percent from the field and nine of 35 from the 3-point line as they got off to a decent start and trailed by just six points going into halftime. Before they leaked 41 points in the third quarter to find themselves trailing by as many as 22 points. Julius Randle scored just nine points on three of seven shooting, while Mike Conley finished with just seven points. The Wolves will take on the Pistons after this game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Suns have lost each of their last 16 games as road underdogs.
• The Timberwolves have won each of their last seven games against the Suns.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 14 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The underdogs have won three of the Timberwolves’ last four games.
• The Timberwolves have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the last five games between the Suns and Timberwolves.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 home games against Pacific Division opponents after losing as favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (67.1%).
• The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (12.6).
• The Suns rank 29th in the league for steals per game this season (7.1).
• The Suns rank 29th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.1).

The Suns are still shorthanded with Bradley Beal ruled out again, while the Timberwolves don’t have a single player listed on the injury report. These teams have already met three times this season, with the Timberwolves winning each game. The last meeting was on Mar. 2, where the Timberwolves romped to a 116-98 road win. The Suns could make this interesting if they can give Durant a bit of support in this one, but the Timberwolves are healthy. I think they can start to turn things around with a win and cover at home in this one.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Minnesota -7.5

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