Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction 5/6/25 NBA Picks Today

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors are growing in confidence after outlasting the Rockets in a thrilling seven-game series, but they won’t have much time to recover after beating the Rockets by 103-89 on Sunday. Buddy Hield was misfiring all series, but he came up big in the series decider as he drained nine 3-pointers to finish with 33 points. Stephen Curry added 22 points with 10 rebounds and seven assists, while Jimmy Butler III chipped in with 20 points, eight rebounds, and seven assists.

As a team, the Warriors shot just 47 percent from the field and 18 of 43 from the 3-point line, but they played excellent defense from the start, limiting the Rockets to just 39 points in the first half to control the contest early on. Before they caught fire in the fourth quarter to lead by as many as 20 points at one stage.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves will be fully rested coming into this series after taking care of the Lakers in a comfortable five-game series in the first round. Anthony Edwards has been leading the way during these playoffs with averages of 26.8 points, 8.4 rebounds, and 6.2 assists per game. Julius Randle is averaging 22.6 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 4.4 assists per game. Jaden McDaniels is averaging 17.4 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game. Naz Reid is averaging 11.6 points off the bench. As a team, the Timberwolves scored 107.4 points per game while shooting 44.1 percent from the field and 32.3 percent from the 3-point line.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Warriors have lost each of their last 12 games as road underdogs after winning as underdogs.
• The Timberwolves have won each of their last seven games at Target Center.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Western Conference Semifinals games following a win.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won 19 of their last 20 playoff games against Northwest Division opponents.
• The Timberwolves have lost three of their last four playoff games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine home games after winning as underdogs.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Northwest Division opponents.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Rudy Gobert ranks 1st in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for FG% (66.9%) this season.
• Anthony Edwards ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (4.1) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Stephen Curry ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (93.3%) this season.
• Draymond Green is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction

The Warriors could be slightly shorthanded for this one as Gary Payton II is listed as questionable, while the Timberwolves have ruled out Rob Dillingham once again. The Warriors have already been tested in these playoffs, but they came up clutch when the stakes were highest, so they will be quietly confident of their chances against the Timberwolves.

They beat them in three out of four meetings during the regular season. The Warriors have already shown that they have the lineups to be able to draw the Timberwolves’ Rudy Gobert away from the basket, so we could see extra minutes for Naz Reid in this matchup. I get why the Timberwolves are favorites at home, but the line just seems a bit too hefty for this matchup. I’m not saying the Warriors pull off the upset, but I like their chances to keep this close till the final buzzer.