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Trail Blazers vs Thunder Prediction 1/26/25 NBA Picks Today
Oklahoma City Thunder (36-8) vs. Portland Trail Blazers (17-28)
January 26, 2025 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Portland Trailblazers +12.5; Over/Under: 225.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Portland Trail Blazers duke it out at the Moda Center on Sunday night.
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Oklahoma City Thunder
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been in terrific form as they’ve won 16 of their last 19 games overall. The Thunder will be hoping to bounce back in this one after having their two-game win streak halted by the Mavericks in a 121-115 loss on Thursday. Jalen Williams led the team with 33 points and seven assists on 11 of 19 shooting, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 31 points with seven assists while Jaylin Williams chipped in with 12 points. As a team, the Thunder shot 47 percent from the field and 15 of 37 from the 3-point line as they got off to another strong start and poured in 62 points in the first half to take the early lead. The Thunder were flat coming out of halftime and fell victim to a 23-8 run from the Mavericks in the third quarter to lose just their eighth game of the season.
Portland Trail Blazers
Meanwhile, the Portland Trail Blazers have been a team on the rise lately, as they are now gunning for a season-high fifth straight victory after outlasting the Hornets in a 102-97 road win on Friday. Anfernee Simons led the team with 27 points on eight of 16 shooting, Jerami Grant added 22 points while Deni Avdija chipped in with 18 points, five rebounds, four assists, and four steals. As a team, the Trail Blazers shot just 40 percent from the field and 11 of 38 from the 3-point line. The Trail Blazers played excellent defense to restrict the Hornets to just 43 points in the second half where they pulled away and escaped with the gritty road win.
Why the Portland Trail Blazers will win
- The Trail Blazers have won each of their last three games as underdogs.
- The Thunder have lost four of their last five day games at Moda Center.
- The Trail Blazers have covered the spread in each of their last five games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six day games against Northwest Division opponents.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 14 games against the Trail Blazers.
- The Trail Blazers have lost each of their last seven games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
- The road team has covered the spread in 11 of the Trail Blazers’ last 12 games.
- The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games at Moda Center.
Total Points Facts
- Eleven of the Trail Blazers’ last 12 home games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the Thunder’s last nine games have gone OVER the total points line.
Trail Blazers vs Thunder Prediction
The Thunder are still missing a bunch of players, including Chet Holmgren and Luguentz Dort, while the Trail Blazers are still playing without the injured Matisse Thybulle and Deandre Ayton. The Thunder were always going to be heavy favorites in this one, as they’ve been for almost every game this season, but I don’t think this will be as one-sided as the line suggests. It’s hard to see anything but a win for the Thunder in this one, especially coming off a rare loss, but I think the line is just a bit too hefty for a resurgent Trail Blazers squad at home.