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Wizards vs Rockets Prediction 3/2/26 NBA Picks Today

Houston Rockets (37-22) vs. Washington Wizards (16-43)
March 2, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Wizards +15.5; Over/Under: 224.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Rockets and Washington Wizards meet Monday in NBA action at the Capital One Arena. Here’s a Wizards vs. Rockets prediction. This article will include a Wizards vs. Rockets pick.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Magic and lost to the Heat, and they play the Warriors next. The Rockets have won 4 of their last 6 games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 114.5 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 109.2 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.2 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 20.2 points and 9.1 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.2 rebounds per game.

Washington Wizards Betting Preview

The Washington Wizards lost to the Raptors and Hawks and will play the Magic next. The Wizards have lost 47 of their last 65 games.

The Washington Wizards are averaging 112.2 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 123 points on 47.7 percent shooting. Alex Sarr is averaging 17.2 points and 7.8 rebounds, while Kyshawn George is averaging 14.8 points and 4.5 assists. Tre Johnson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaden Hardy is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Washington Wizards are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Washington Wizards are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Washington Wizards will win

  • The Wizards have won each of their last five games as home underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Rockets have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a road loss.
  • The Wizards have covered the spread in each of their last five home games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven road games against teams that held a losing record.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

  • The Wizards have lost each of their last 13 games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rockets have won each of their last eight road games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites against the Wizards.
  • The Wizards have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points: Facts

  • Each of the Wizards’ last four home games on the first leg of a back-to-back has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Rockets’ last four road games following a road loss has gone UNDER the total points line.

Washington Wizards Player Facts

  • Bub Carrington ranks 41st amongst qualified players for assists per game (4.6) this season.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

  • Kevin Durant has scored 30+ points in two consecutive appearances—the equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
  • Alperen Sengun ranks 2nd in the league for points in the paint (704) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Wizards rank 30th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (47.9).
  • The Wizards rank 30th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (13.3).
  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (48.2).
  • The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (15.3).

Wizards vs Rockets Injury Report

The Wizards are without Cam Whitmore, Anthony Davis, Alex Sarr, Trae Young, and D’Angelo Russell. Tristan Vukcevic, Kyshawn George, Leaky Black, and Anthony Gill are questionable.

The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet, Jabari Smith Jr., Jae’Sean Tate, and Steven Adams.

Wizards vs Rockets Prediction

The Rockets have the ability to blow the doors off here, and they’re 8-1 SU and ATS in their last 9 games against the Wizards. The Wizards’ injury report is disgusting, and they’re not filling an NBA roster these days. However, this is a ton of points for a Rockets team that’s 27-32 ATS on the season and has 15 road losses. The Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a double-digit favorite and two of those failed covers were outright losses. This is also a look-ahead spot with the Warriors on deck. I’m not laying this many points with the Rockets. It’s Wizards or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Washington Wizards +15.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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