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Wizards vs Warriors Prediction 3/16/26 NBA Picks Today

Golden State Warriors (32-35) vs. Washington Wizards (16-50)
March 16, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Wizards +7.5; Over/Under: 232.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Golden State Warriors and Washington Wizards meet Monday in NBA action at the Capital One Arena. Here’s a Wizards vs Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Wizards vs. Warriors pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors lost to the Knicks and Timberwolves and will play the Celtics next. The Warriors have lost 14 of their last 20 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.1 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 114.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.2 points and 4.8 assists, while Brandin Podziemski averages 12 points and 3.5 assists. De’Anthony Melton is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 80.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.

Washington Wizards Betting Preview

The Washington Wizards lost to the Magic and Celtics and will play the Pistons next. The Wizards have lost 54 of their last 72 games.

The Washington Wizards are averaging 114.4 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 125.6 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Alex Sarr is averaging 16.9 points and 7.5 rebounds, while Kyshawn George is averaging 14.8 points and 4.5 assists. Tre Johnson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaden Hardy is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Washington Wizards are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 76.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Washington Wizards are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Washington Wizards will win

  • The Warriors have lost each of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Wizards have won five of their last six games as home underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Wizards have covered the spread in each of their last six home games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games against Southeast Division opponents.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Wizards have lost each of their last 11 games.
  • The Warriors have won each of their last 10 Monday games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last 10 Monday games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Wizards have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Warriors’ last six games as favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Wizards’ last five games against the Warriors following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Washington Wizards Player Facts

  • Trae Young is one of only eight players in the league to have recorded 17+ assists in a game this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

  • De’Anthony Melton leads all Warriors players for steals per 36 minutes (2.5) this season.
  • Brandin Podziemski ranks 25th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Wizards rank 30th in the league for point differential per game this season (-11.0).
  • The Wizards rank 30th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (48.0).
  • The Warriors rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.7%).
  • The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.3).

Wizards vs Warriors Injury Report

The Wizards are without Cam Whitmore, D’Angelo Russell, Alex Sarr, Leaky Black, Kyshawn George, and Anthony Davis.

The Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler, Kristaps Porzingis, Draymond Green, Al Horford, Stephen Curry, and Moses Moody. Quinten Post and De’Anthony Melton are questionable.

Wizards vs Warriors Prediction

You’d think the Warriors will win this game, but I’m not laying all of these points with them on the road and at the end of a back-to-back given their injury situation. The Warriors lost to the Jazz, who aren’t even trying to win and then lost to the Bulls, who were riding a 69-game losing streak at the time. The Wizards are awful, obviously, but the Warriors haven’t done anything lately to deserve this sort of respect. Also, the Wizards have seen 11 of their 16 wins come at home and they’ve cashed 28 tickets. I want the points as a fade of the Warriors more than anything. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Washington Wizards +7.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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