Bears vs Vikings Prediction 9/20/26 NFL Picks Today

The Minnesota Vikings and the Chicago Bears meet Sunday in NFL action from Soldier Field in Chicago. Here’s a Bears vs Vikings prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Bears vs Vikings pick.

Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

The Vikings took a step backward in 2025, failing to improve upon the heights of their 14-3 run in 2024. Minnesota ended up going a tepid 9-8 overall, finishing in third place among the NFC North and out of a playoff bid. The good news is that the Vikes finished with five straight wins after a 4-8 start; the bad news (among other things) was that not a single team player made the Pro Bowl roster (the first time since 2014).

Last weekend in the Packers matchup, the Vikings were in trouble heading into the fourth quarter, trailing 22-17. Minnesota woke up after that however, posting 22 unanswered points in a 39-22 victory. QB Carson Wentz was 12-of-19 for 133 yards and three scores while Justin Jefferson caught eight balls for 92 yards and two of the scores for Minnesota.

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

Over on the Bears’ side, they had a comparatively better season in 2025. Chicago rolled to a nice 11-6 overall record, securing an NFC North title for the first time in seven years. The Bears were able to beat the rival Packers in the Wild Card Playoffs 31-27 and moved on to the Divisional Round versus the Rams. Chicago would lose that one 20-17 in overtime, however.

Matched up against the Panthers in their opener, the Bears went on a scoring tear from the very beginning. Chicago put up 14 points in three of the four quarters (and 17 in the other) on the way to a 59-37 victory. QB Caleb Williams was 21-of-29 for 269 yards and two touchdowns, but D’Andre Swift did most of the damage on 18 carries for 124 yards and three scores.

Why the Chicago Bears will win

• The Bears have won each of their last 10 games as favorites following a win.
• The Vikings have lost eight of their last nine Week 2 road games.
• The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Vikings’ last eight games at Soldier Field.
• The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road openers as underdogs.
• The Vikings have lost the first half in each of their last 13 Week 2 road games.
• The home team has won the first quarter in each of the last four games between the Vikings and Bears.
• The Bears have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games as favorites following a road win.

Why the Minnesota Vikings will win

• The Bears have lost each of their last 17 games against NFC opponents on a winning streak.
• The Vikings have won each of their last four games as underdogs without T.J. Hockenson.
• The Bears have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight September home games against NFC North opponents.
• The Vikings have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs without Justin Jefferson.
• The Vikings have won the first half in each of their last five games against the Bears following a win.
• The Bears have lost the first quarter in each of their last three September games as home favorites.
• The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in 11 of their last 14 games as underdogs following a win.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Vikings’ last four games without Andrew Van Ginkel have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Bears’ last four Week 2 games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of the last seven Sunday games at Soldier Field have gone UNDER the total points line.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

• Rome Odunze has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Bears’ last five September games.
• Cole Kmet has recorded 16+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last six Sunday games.
• D’Andre Swift has scored two or more touchdowns in three of the Bears’ last four Sunday regular season games.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 242+ passing yards in six of the Bears’ last seven games.
• Kyle Monangai has recorded 36+ rushing yards in each of the Bears’ last six games following a win.
• Cole Kmet has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last six Sunday games.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 21+ completions in four of the Bears’ last five games.
• Heading into Week 2, D’Andre Swift ranks T1st in the NFL in touchdowns (3) this season.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

• Kyler Murray has recorded 266+ passing yards in five of his six previous Week 2 appearances.
• Aaron Jones has recorded 32+ rushing yards in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
• Aaron Jones has recorded 15+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 regular season appearances with his team as a road underdog.
• Aaron Jones has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six road appearances against the Bears.
• Aaron Jones has recorded 45+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 17 road appearances against NFC North opponents.
• Kyler Murray has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Heading into Week 2, Justin Jefferson ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Bears – two different players have recorded multi-touchdown games this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 2.
• Bears – five different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 2.
• Heading into Week 2, the Vikings rank T1st in the NFL in red zone percentage (100.0%) this season.
• Heading into Week 2, the Vikings rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage against (0.0%) this season.

Bears vs Vikings Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Vikings but I could go either way on this one. Minnesota didn’t really get going on the scoreboard in the Green Bay game until the fourth quarter, and mustered just 239 yards and 3.9 yards per play in total. Still, the Vikes went a pretty solid 8-of-15 on third downs with 19 first downs and 32:58 in time of possession. The two takeaways and the Packers 12 penalties for 98 yards helped immensely as well. This is going to be another tricky game for Minnesota, and probably even more difficult.

As for the Bears, they gathered up a whopping 552 yards (291 rushing), 7.9 yards per play, 26 first downs and 10-of-14 on third-down tries in their Week 1 win over Carolina. Chicago’s defense gave up 478 yards on the other side but also had three takeaways. It was a penalty-heavy game, with the Bears accounting for 12 of the 23 total flags. Chicago could be dangerous this year if they can keep the offense humming.