Denver Broncos vs LA Chargers Prediction 10-13-24 NFL Picks
LA Chargers (2-2) vs. Denver Broncos (3-2)
October 13, 2024 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Broncos +3; Over/Under: +42.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Los Angeles Chargers and the Denver Broncos meet Sunday in NFL action from Empower Field at Mile High. Here’s a Denver Broncos vs LA Chargers Prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Broncos vs Chargers pick.
Los Angeles Chargers Betting Preview
The Chargers got off to a pretty good start this year with a pair of wins. Those came 22-10 versus the Las Vegas Raiders and 26-3 over the Carolina Panthers. LA fell in game three, however, dropping one 20-10 on the road versus the Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Chargers’ fourth game was a loss as well, dropping the team back to 2-2 overall. LA hosted the Kansas City Chiefs, failing to score over the final three quarters in a 17-10 result. QB Justin Herbert finished with 179 passing yards and a TD in the defeat.
Denver Broncos Betting Preview
Over on the Broncos’ side, they lost their first two games to the Seahawks 26-20 and the Steelers 13-6. Denver bounced back with wins in their next pair over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 26-7 and the New York Jets 10-9, though.
Matched up against the Raiders last weekend, the Broncos were down 10-0 after the first quarter. Denver caught fire in the final three quarters though, eventually winning 34-18. Bo Nix led the way on 206 pass yards and two scores (with a rush TD). Javonte Williams carried 13 times for 61 yards rushing.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Chargers’ last 10 Sunday games has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eleven of the Broncos’ last 12 games at Empower Field at Mile High following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Javonte Williams has recorded 24+ receiving yards in five of the Broncos’ last six games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in four of the Broncos’ last five games as underdogs following a home win.
- Javonte Williams has recorded 48+ rushing yards in each of his four previous October home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Javonte Williams has recorded 70+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Broncos’ last five games following a home win.
- Patrick Surtain is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts
- J.K. Dobbins has scored a touchdown in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite.
- J.K. Dobbins has recorded 62+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances against division opponents.
- J.K. Dobbins has recorded 93+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six appearances against division opponents.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 259+ passing yards in each of his 10 previous road appearances against AFC West opponents.
- D.J. Chark Jr. has recorded 43+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Justin Herbert has thrown three touchdowns in three of the Chargers’ last four games as road favorites against AFC West opponents.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 22+ completions in 11 of the Chargers’ last 12 games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
- Asante Samuel Jr. is just one away from 10 career interceptions (including playoffs).
Denver Broncos vs LA Chargers Prediction
I’m sticking with the Broncos. Denver has carved out a winning record through five games thanks to some scrappy play. The Broncos only mustered 289 yards of offense (180 passing), 18 first downs, and 3-of-12 on third-down tries in their latest win, though—not to mention the nine penalties. Denver’s defense came up with three interceptions on the other side, and the Raiders’ 11 penalties didn’t hurt, either.
As for the Chargers, they went cold after the first quarter in their latest loss to the Chiefs. LA ended up with just 224 total yards (169 passing), 4.2 yards per play, 12 first downs, and nine penalties in a pretty rough effort. The Chargers had some extra time to rest and prep for this one though, so I like them to be competitive here. I don’t think LA will quite cover it, though.