NFL Picks

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns Prediction 9-15-24 NFL Picks

Cleveland Browns (0-1) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1)
September 15, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Jacksonville Jaguars -3; Over/Under: 41
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cleveland Browns and Jacksonville Jaguars meet Sunday in week 2 NFL action at EverBank Stadium. Here’s a Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns Prediction. This article will include a Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns Pick.

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns lost to the Cowboys opening week and play the Giants next. The Cleveland Browns look to avoid their first 0-2 start since the 2017 season. Deshaun Watson is completing 53.3 percent of his passes for 169 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. David Njoku and Jordan Akins have combined for 71 receiving yards on 7 catches, while Jerome Ford has 6 receptions.

The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 93 yards per contest, and Ford leads the way with 44 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 33 points and 265 yards per game. Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah leads the Cleveland Browns with 9 tackles, Za’Darius Smith has 1 sack and Martin Emerson Jr. has 1 pass deflection.

Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars lost their opener to the Dolphins, and they play the Bills next. The Jacksonville Jaguars look to avoid their first 0-2 start since the 2021 season. Trevor Lawrence is completing 57.1 percent of his passes for 162 yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Gabe Davis and Brian Thomas Jr. have combined for 109 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Christian Kirk has 1 reception.

The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 128 yards per contest, and Tank Bigsby leads the way with 73 yards on 12 carries. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 20 points and 400 yards per game. Foyesade Oluokun leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 11 tackles, Travon Walker has 2 sacks and Josh Hines-Allen has 1 pass deflection.

Why the Jacksonville Jaguars will win

  • The Browns have lost eight of their last nine road openers against AFC opponents.
  • The home team has won each of the Jaguars’ last four games.
  • The Browns have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • The Jaguars have covered the spread in five of their last six games following a road loss.
  • The Jaguars have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games as favorites against AFC opponents.
  • The Browns have lost the first quarter in each of their last seven road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Browns have lost the first half in each of their last 10 games as underdogs.

Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts

  • Evan Engram has recorded 46+ receiving yards in each of his six previous Week 2 appearances.
  • Christian Kirk has recorded 60+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last five Week 2 appearances.
  • Trevor Lawrence has recorded 257+ passing yards in seven of the Jaguars’ last eight games against AFC opponents.
  • Travis Etienne has scored the first touchdown in three of the Jaguars’ last four games as home favorites.
  • Travis Etienne has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Jaguars’ last three games as favorites following a road loss.
  • Travis Etienne has recorded 71+ rushing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last four games as favorites following a road loss.
  • Trevor Lawrence has recorded 23+ completions in nine of his last 11 appearances following a loss.
  • Trevor Lawrence has thrown two touchdowns in each of the Jaguars’ last three games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Darnell Savage Jr. is just one away from 10 career interceptions.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

  • Nick Chubb has recorded 80+ rushing yards in each of his eight previous appearances with the Browns as underdogs following a home loss.
  • Jerome Ford has scored the first touchdown in three of the Browns’ last four regular-season games against AFC South opponents.
  • Nick Chubb has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Browns’ last five Week 2 games.
  • Nick Chubb has scored two or more touchdowns in three of the Browns’ last four September games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
  • David Njoku has recorded 44+ receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Nick Chubb has recorded 107+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with the Browns as underdogs following a home loss.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 235+ passing yards in each of his last seven September road appearances.
  • Deshaun Watson has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog following a loss.
  • Deshaun Watson has recorded 20+ completions in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
  • Deshaun Watson has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Cowboys, Week 1).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Jaguars rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (319.0) this season.
  • The Jaguars rank T1st in the NFL in Q1 win percentage (100.0) this season.
  • The Browns rank T1st in the NFL in red zone percentage (100.0%) this season.
  • The Browns rank T1st in the NFL in Q4 win percentage (100.0) this season.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns Prediction

Every year, people make a case to back the Cleveland Browns, and it usually doesn’t work out for them. The Browns are 5-8-1 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. The Browns are 3-5-1 ATS in their last 9 games when underdogs of 3 or more points. Deshaun Watson looks like a backup quarterback, and the Browns just aren’t going to win games if the offense can’t get going. The Jaguars played well against the Dolphins and probably win if Travis Etienne Jr. doesn’t fumble at the goal line. Jacksonville crumbled after that.

At home, I’m assuming the Jaguars will feel better about their opening week loss and eager to right a wrong. The Jaguars are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games when favorites of 3 or more points. I’ll lay the field goal with the Jags at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars -3

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

Related Articles

Back to top button