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Dallas Stars vs. Tampa Bay Lightning – 9/23/20 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars 9/23/20: NHL Hockey free preview, analysis, prediction, odds and pick against the spread.
2020-09-23 20:00:00 EDT

The Dallas Stars and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Wednesday in game three of the NHL Stanley Cup Final at the Rogers Place.

The Dallas Stars look for a bounce back showing to take a 2-1 series lead. The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.96 goals per game and are scoring on 26 percent of their power play opportunities. Joe Pavelski leads Dallas with 10 goals, Miro Heiskanen has 18 assists and Jamie Benn has 62 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.96 goals per game and are killing 82.4 percent of their opponents power plays. Ben Bishop has given up 12 goals on 77 shots faced and Anton Khudobin has allowed 53 goals on 677 shots. Jake Oettinger has allowed zero goals on five shots.

The Tampa Bay Lightning look for back-to-back victories to take a 2-1 series lead. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging three goals per game and are scoring on 19.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 10 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 22 assists and Ondrej Palat has 69 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.29 goals per game and are killing 83.8 percent of their opponents power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 45 goals on 631 shots faced.

The Lightning are 76-31 in their last 107 games playing on 1 days rest, 36-16 in their last 52 games as a favorite and 41-16 in their last 57 overall. The Stars are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog, 11-4 in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest and 4-1 in their last 5 overall. The under is 2-0-3 in Lightning last 5 overall. The under is 4-0-3 in Stars last 7 overall. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Dallas and 15-4-3 in the last 22 meetings.

The Tampa Bay Lightning won game two to even up the series and now have yet to lose back-to-back games in the bubble. The good news for the Stars is that they outplayed the Lightning in the final two periods and got back to their defensive roots after getting blitzed with three first period goals. The Tampa Bay Lightning will continue to be favored in these games, but we continue to get the Stars at plus money and they continue to cash. The Stars have also still won three of the last four meetings against the Lightning and did a lot of things late in game two that could carryover to this contest. I’ll back the Stars and the plus money, as it takes more than one game to knock me off the bandwagon. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Dallas Stars +139

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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