Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction 5/1/26 NHL Picks Today

The Buffalo Sabres and the Boston Bruins meet Sunday in NHL action from the TD Garden. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Buffalo Sabres vs. Boston Bruins prediction.

Buffalo Sabres Recap

The Buffalo Sabres come into this game looking to bounce back from their 2-1 OT loss to Boston last time out to make it a 3-2 series.

Sabres Looking To Close Out Bruins

Tage Thompson leads the Sabres in scoring with 81 points coming on a team-high 40 goals and 41 assists while Alex Tuch has 66 points with 33 goals and 33 assists and Rasmus Dahlin has 74 points with a team-high 55 assists. Josh Doan has 52 points with 25 goals and 27 assists and Ryan McLeod has 54 points with 14 goals and 40 assists. Bowen Byram has 42 points with 11 goals and 31 assists while Jack Quinn’s added 51 points with 20 goals and 31 assists this season. Alex Lyon has gone 20-10-4 with a 2.77 GAA and a .907 save percentage in goal for Buffalo while Colten Ellis is 8-4-2 with a 2.90 GAA and a .903 save percentage so far this season. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has gone 22-9-3 with a 2.52 GAA and a .910 save percentage up to this point in the year.

Boston Bruins Recap

The Boston Bruins come into this game looking to tie up the series after the win over the Sabres last time out.

Bruins Looking To Force Game Seven

David Pastrnak leads the Bruins in scoring with 100 points including 29 goals and a team-high 71 assists while Morgan Geekie has 68 points with a team-high 39 goals and 29 assists and Pavel Zacha has 65 points with 30 goals and 35 assists. Charlie McAvoy has 50 assists while Elias Lindholm has 48 points with 17 goals and 31 assists. Viktor Arvidsson has 54 points with 25 goals and 29 assists. Jeremy Swayman’s gone 31-18-4 with a 2.71 GAA and a .908 save percentage in goal for the Bruins while Joonas Korpisalo is 14-9-5 with a 3.15 GAA and an .894 save percentage so far this season.

Buffalo Sabres @ Boston Bruins Betting Trends: May 1, 2026

Why the Boston Bruins will win

• The Bruins have won each of their last nine games against the Sabres after coming off overtime.
• The Sabres have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Bruins have covered the puck line in 17 of their last 18 games against Eastern Conference opponents after coming off overtime.
• The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Bruins have won the second period in each of their last five games as underdogs when tied after the first period.

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

• The Sabres have won each of their last four road games.
• The Bruins have lost each of their last four home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the last six games between the Sabres and Bruins.
• The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Sabres have won the third period in each of their last seven games when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Bruins’ last seven games as underdogs following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Sabres’ last four games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Six of the last seven night games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last nine road games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last eight games following an overtime win.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• David Pastrnak has scored a goal in five of the Bruins’ last six games as underdogs against the Sabres.
• David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Bruins’ last eight night games at TD Garden.
• Sean Kuraly has scored two goals against the Sabres this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

• Alex Tuch has scored a goal in each of the Sabres’ last four road games.
• Joshua Norris has recorded an assist in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a road favorite against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Bowen Byram has scored three goals against the Bruins this season – most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Boston Bruins rank 31st in the league for power play goals against this season (64).
• The Boston Bruins rank 2nd in the league in penalty minutes this season (978).
• The Buffalo Sabres rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.90%).
• The Buffalo Sabres rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.45).

Buffalo Sabres vs. Boston Bruins Prediction

I’m on the Sabres in this game. I think it’s crucial for the Sabres to try to close out here, even though they would have home ice for game seven because this is a veteran Bruins group that’s dangerous to begin with but have also been there and done that and can feed off of momentum that comes from rallying from a 3-1 deficit. The Sabres have also shown that they can win in this building already in this series, so give me Buffalo here.