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Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction 5-11-24 Picks

Dallas Stars (57-24-10) vs. Colorado Avalanche (55-27-7)
May 11, 2024 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Avalanche -134 / Dallas Stars +112; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche meet Saturday in Game 3 West Second Round NHL Playoffs action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars look for back to back wins to take a 2-1 series lead. The Stars are 2-1 on the road in these NHL playoffs. The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.67 goals per game and are scoring on 30.4 percent of their power play opportunities. Wyatt Johnston leads Dallas with 5 goals, Miro Heiskanen has 5 assists and Tyler Seguin has 28 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.56 goals per game and are killing 70.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 21 goals on 244 shots faced.


Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche have won 5 of their last 6 games and need a win here to take a 2-1 series lead. The Avalanche are 2-0 at home in these NHL playoffs. The Colorado Avalanche are averaging 5 goals per game and are scoring on 38.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Valeri Nichushkin leads Colorado with 9 goals, Cale Makar has 9 assists and Nathan MacKinnon has 31 shots on goal. Defensively, the Colorado Avalanche are allowing 3.29 goals per game and are killing 72.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Alexandar Georgiev has allowed 22 goals on 192 shots faced.

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Injury Report

The Dallas Stars will be without Jani Hakanpaa and Jerad Rosburg. The Avalanche will be without Jonathan Drouin, Logan O’Connor and Gabriel Landeskog.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

  • The Avalanche have won 16 of their last 18 home games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Stars have lost five of their last six games following a home win.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games following a home win.
  • The Avalanche have covered the puck line in each of their last four games as favorites.
  • The Avalanche have won the third period in each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The Stars have won four of their last five games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Avalanche have lost three of their last four Saturday games as favorites.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs following a win.
  • The Stars have won the third period in seven of their last eight road games following a win.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Avalanche’s last 10 night games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Stars’ last eight Saturday games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the last eight games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in 15 of the Avalanche’s last 16 games following a road loss.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last eight games as underdogs.

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction

The Dallas Stars are probably the better team on paper, and they’ve had great offensive success in recent meetings against the Avs. I wouldn’t talk you off the ledge if looking at the plus money. With that said, the Avalanche have won 7 of the last 10 games against the Stars. Also, the Avs are 33-9-1 at home this season. The Colorado Avalanche have lost at home just 5 times since January 8. The price is fairly cheap. It’s hard for me to go against the Avalanche in this spot. Give me Colorado to take a 2-1 series lead.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Colorado Avalanche -134

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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