Flames vs Canadiens Prediction 1/7/26 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Flames vs Canadiens Prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, January 7^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Montreal Canadiens Preview

The Canadiens have 52 points this season with a 23-13-6 record, and are 24-18 ATS and 26-14 in over/under. They have a 13-4-5 home record and a 10-9-1 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-3 road overtime win over the Stars, and their previous three games were a 2-0 road loss to the Blues, a 7-5 road win over the Hurricanes, and a 3-2 road overtime win over the Panthers.

Offensively, the Canadiens are averaging 3.31 goals per game and are scoring 23.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.26 goals per game and are killing 77.6% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nick Suzuki leads the Canadiens with 46 points, also leading the team in assists with 32, while Cole Caufield leads the team in goals with 20. Jakub Dobes is the starting goalie for the Canadiens, and he has a 13-5-3 record, with 3.01 GAA and .889 SV%. Samuel Montembeault is the backup goalie and he has a 7-6-1 record, with 3.48 GAA and .865 SV%.

Calgary Flames Preview

The Flames have 40 points this season with a 18-20-4 record, and are 24-17 ATS and 22-16 in over/under. They have a 12-7-2 home record and a 6-13-2 road record and are sitting 7th in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 5-1 home loss to the Kraken, and their previous three games were a 4-3 home loss to the Predators, a 5-1 home win over the Flyers, and a 2-1 home overtime win over the Bruins.

Offensively, the Flames are averaging 2.62 goals per game and are scoring 14.5% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.95 goals per game and are killing 81.3% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nazem Kadri leads the Flames with 32 points, also leading the team in assists with 24, while Blake Coleman leads the team in goals with 13. Dustin Wolf is the starting goalie for the Flames, and he has a 14-16-2 record, with 2.90 GAA and .900 SV%. Devin Cooley is the backup goalie and he has a 4-4-2 record, with 2.40 GAA and .914 SV%.

Calgary Flames @ Montreal Canadiens Betting Trends: January 7, 2026

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The Flames have lost seven of their last eight games following a home loss.
• The Canadiens have won each of their last four games after coming off overtime.
• The Canadiens have covered the puck line in each of their last seven night games.
• The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games at Bell Centre.
• The Canadiens have won the third period in each of their last seven home games against Western Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

Why the Calgary Flames will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Canadiens’ last four games.
• The Canadiens have lost four of their last five games as favorites after coming off overtime.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in 15 of their last 16 games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Canadiens’ last seven games.
• The Canadiens have lost the second period in each of their last four home games against Western Conference opponents when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flames’ last six road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Canadiens’ last four home games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last seven games as home favorites.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last six games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Alex Newhook has scored a goal in four of the Canadiens’ last five games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• Lane Hutson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Canadiens’ last six home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Cole Caufield has scored the last goal in three of the Canadiens’ last four games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

• Joel Farabee has scored at least one goal in four of the Flames’ last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Rasmus Andersson has recorded at least one assist in four of the Flames’ last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Montreal Canadiens rank 7th in the league for goals per game this season (3.31).
• The Montreal Canadiens rank 8th in the league in power play percentage this season (23.77%).
• The Calgary Flames rank 32nd in the league in power play percentage this season (14.50%).
• The Calgary Flames rank 29th in the league for goals per game this season (2.62).

Flames vs Canadiens Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Canadiens won 2-1 on the road in overtime, but the Flames have won their four meetings before that. Under is 6-1 in their last 7 games.

In this Flames vs Canadiens Prediction, the Canadiens are coming as -156 home favorites. The Canadiens have been the better team this season, as they have more points and wins and are facing a Flames team that has been bad on the road, with just 6 wins in 21 road games. Canadiens are 3-1 in their last four games and have a better offense and power play, while the Flames have back-to-back losses, so I like the value with the home team in this matchup. Take the Canadiens on the moneyline.