Flames vs Stars Prediction 3/3/26 NHL Picks Today

The Dallas Stars and Calgary Flames meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Saddledome. Here’s a Flames vs. Stars prediction. This article will include a Flames vs. Stars pick.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars beat the Canucks and Predators, and they play the Avs next. The Stars have won 9 straight games.

The Dallas Stars are averaging 3.37 goals per game and are scoring on 30.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Jason Robertson leads Dallas with 34 goals, Mikko Rantanen has 49 assists, and Wyatt Johnston has 160 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.68 goals per game and are killing 80.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 103 goals on 1,012 shots faced, while Casey DeSmith has given up 50 goals on 572 shots.

Calgary Flames Betting Preview

The Calgary Flames lost to the Kings and Ducks, and they play the Senators next. The Flames have lost 8 of their last 11 games.

The Calgary Flames are averaging 2.47 goals per game and are scoring 16.4 percent of their power-play opportunities. Matt Coronato leads Calgary with 14 goals, Nazem Kadri has 29 assists, and Mikael Backlund has 145 shots on goal. Defensively, the Calgary Flames are allowing 2.92 goals per game and are killing 82.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Dustin Wolf has allowed 117 goals on 1,170 shots faced, and Devin Cooley has given up 42 goals on 545 shots.

Why the Calgary Flames will win

• The Flames have won six of their last seven games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• The Stars have lost four of their last five games as an away favorite when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Flames have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games as an away favorite when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Stars have lost the third period in each of their last six road games following a road win.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last nine games.
• The Flames have lost each of their last eight Tuesday games.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine night games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents after coming off overtime.
• The Flames have lost the third period in each of their last five games as home underdogs against Central Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Flames’ last eight games after coming off a shootout have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Stars’ last four games against opponents on a losing streak has gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 13 road games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 18 of the Flames’ last 19 home games against Central Division opponents.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Coronato has scored at least one goal in four of the Flames’ last five games as home underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• Mikael Backlund has recorded an assist in five of the Flames’ last six games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• John Beecher has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances—the [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Matt Duchene has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last four road games.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last seven games as favorites.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for power play goals (20) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Calgary Flames rank 31st in the league for goals per game this season (2.47).
• The Calgary Flames rank 27th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.38%).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (30.29%).
• The Dallas Stars rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.68).

Flames vs Stars Prediction

The Stars are on the end of a back to back and the Flames have been a different team on their home ice. I’m still backing the Stars. Dallas hasn’t lost a game since January 22 and is the same team on the road as it is at home. The Flames have come up small offensively over their last 10 games and that’s not ideal in a spot like this. Throw in the cheap price, and there’s no way I’m stepping in front of the Stars and this winning streak.