
Lightning vs Flames Prediction 2/27/25 NHL Picks Today
Calgary Flames (28-21-8) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (33-20-4)
February 27, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Lightning -225 / Calgary Flames 185; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Calgary Flames and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Thursday in NHL action at the Amalie Arena. Here’s a Lightning vs Flames Prediction. This article will include a Lightning vs Flames Pick.
Calgary Flames Betting Preview
The Calgary Flames beat the Sharks and Capitals, and they play the Panthers, Hurricanes, and Flyers next. The Flames have won four of their last five road games.
The Calgary Flames are averaging 2.65 goals per game and are scoring 21.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Jonathan Huberdeau leads Calgary with 22 goals, MacKenzie Weegar has 26 assists and Nazem Kadri has 192 shots on goal. Defensively, the Calgary Flames are allowing 2.93 goals per game and are killing 72.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Dustin Wolf has allowed 89 goals on 1,019 shots faced, and Dan Vladar has given up 69 goals on 635 shots.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Kraken and Oilers, and they play the Capitals, Panthers, and Blue Jackets next. The Lighting have won six straight games and have scored no less than four goals in every game.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.58 goals per game and are scoring on 27 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 31 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 59 assists and Brandon Hagel has 166 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.7 goals per game and are killing 80.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 100 goals on 1,256 shots faced, and Jonas Johansson has given up 40 goals on 369 shots.
Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win
- The Lightning have won each of their last seven home games against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Flames have lost each of their last seven road games following a road win.
- The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last five games.
- The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games.
- The Flames have lost the second period in eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a road win.
Why the Calgary Flames will win
- The Flames have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Flames’ last seven games.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games at Amalie Arena against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Flames have won the first period in each of their last four games as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.58).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 4th in the league in power play percentage this season (27.04%).
- The Calgary Flames rank 28th in the league for goals per game this season (2.65).
- The Calgary Flames rank 28th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.46%).
Lightning vs Flames Injury Report
Jonas Johansson is questionable for the Tampa Bay Lightning.
The Flames will be without Justin Kirkland and Anthony Mantha. Joel Hanley is questionable for the Flames.
Lightning vs Flames Prediction
The Flames aren’t close to being the same team on the road as they are at home, and they’ve had these games where the defense gets rocked. The Lightning are rolling right now with six straight wins, and they’ve scored at least four goals in every game during that winning streak. The Lightning are 20-7-2 on their home ice this season. The Lightning beat the Flames 8-3 back in December, for whatever that’s worth as well. I’m not stepping in front of the Lightning on their home ice, given their current form. Give me the Lightning and the PL for max betting value.