Maple Leafs vs Panthers Prediction 1/6/26 NHL Picks Today
Florida Panthers (22-16-3) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (19-15-7)
January 6, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Maple Leafs 105 / Florida Panthers -125; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Maple Leafs vs Panthers Prediction. This article will include a Maple Leafs vs Panthers Pick.
Florida Panthers Betting Preview
The Florida Panthers lost to the Rangers, beat the Avs, and they play the Habs next. The Panthers have won 10 of their last 15 games.
The Florida Panthers are averaging 3.1 goals per game and are scoring on 18.2 percent of their power-play opportunities. Brad Marchand leads Florida with 23 goals, Sam Reinhart has 21 assists, and Sam Bennett has 104 shots on goal. Defensively, the Florida Panthers are allowing 3.15 goals per game and are killing 82.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed 78 goals on 680 shots faced, while Daniil Tarasov has given up 38 goals on 396 shots.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Islanders, beat the Jets, and they play the Flyers next. The Maple Leafs have split their last 10 games.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.34 goals per game and are scoring 16.7 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 20 goals, William Nylander has 27 assists, and John Tavares has 107 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.34 goals per game and are killing 83.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Joseph Woll has allowed 39 goals on 430 shots faced, while Dennis Hildeby has given up 36 goals on 408 shots.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The home team has won each of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games.
- The Panthers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in 17 of their last 18 games as home underdogs after coming off overtime.
- The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have won the first period in each of their last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Why the Florida Panthers will win
- The road team has won each of the last four games between the Panthers and Maple Leafs.
- The Maple Leafs have lost 10 of their last 13 games after coming off overtime.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the last four games between the Panthers and Maple Leafs.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in nine of their last 12 games after coming off overtime.
- The road team has won the third period in each of the last four games between the Panthers and Maple Leafs.
Total Goals Facts
- Seven of the Panthers’ last eight road games following a home win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven Tuesday games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Five of the last six games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Panthers’ last seven games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- John Tavares has recorded an assist in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
- Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances in night games at Scotiabank Arena.
- Auston Matthews has recorded at least four shots in each of his last four appearances – longest active streak in the league.
Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts
- Sam Reinhart has scored at least one goal in each of the Panthers’ last four games as favorites.
- Sam Bennett has recorded an assist in each of the Panthers’ last four games as favorites.
- Sam Reinhart ranks T2nd in the league for Game Winning Goals (5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 4th in the league for goals per game this season (3.34).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.65%).
- The Florida Panthers rank 6th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.27%).
- The Florida Panthers have suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of 2+ goals this season (16).
Maple Leafs vs Panthers Prediction
The Maple Leafs have played their best hockey by far on their home ice and smoked the Panthers a month ago, 4-1, on the road. I wouldn’t talk you off the ledge if looking at the soft price with the home team. However, the Panthers are looking more and more like a team that’s figuring things out, and they’ll soon get key pieces back from injury. The most recent effort in a win over the Avs was enough to turn heads. Even with home ice success, the Maple Leafs have underachieved this season overall. I’ll take the more consistent, trustworthy team in the Panthers.