Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins prediction 11-11-23 NHL Picks
Montreal Canadiens (6-5-2) vs Boston Bruins (11-1-1)
2023-11-11 19:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Montreal Canadiens +225 / Boston Bruins -294 --- Over/Under: 6
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The Boston Bruins, topping the Atlantic Division with an 11-1-1 record, are set to face the Montreal Canadiens, currently sixth in the same division at 6-5-2, on November 11 at Bell Centre. This matchup on NHLN and NESN is not just a historic rivalry but a test of Boston’s dominance against Montreal’s quest for upward mobility. Both teams, with their distinct strengths and challenges, are gearing up for a memorable showdown in one of hockey’s most storied venues.
Maintaining Dominance
The Boston Bruins’ impressive start to the season sees them leading the Atlantic Division. Their 12th-ranked offense, with 43 goals for, is spearheaded by right winger David Pastrnak, who leads with 10 goals and 10 assists. Boston’s defense stands out as their biggest strength, leading the league with only 25 goals against. This defensive prowess is bolstered by goaltender Jeremy Swayman’s stellar performance, boasting a .952 save percentage and a 1.49 goals allowed per game. Despite the injuries to key players like Morgan Geekie, Matt Grzelcyk, and Milan Lucic, the Bruins have demonstrated depth and resilience. Their power play, ranking 14th at 20.9%, and an exceptional penalty kill at 92.2% (second in the league) underline their special teams’ efficiency. This balance of offensive creativity and defensive solidity has been the cornerstone of Boston’s success.
Boston’s approach against Montreal should continue to leverage their strong defense while exploiting the Canadiens’ vulnerabilities, particularly their 22nd-ranked penalty kill. The Bruins’ ability to maintain discipline, avoiding unnecessary penalties, will be crucial in this high-intensity matchup. Pastrnak’s offensive talents, coupled with Swayman’s form in goal, give Boston a solid foundation to dominate the game. The Bruins have shown their ability to control games with a structured approach, and their success against Montreal will depend on continuing this trend. Keeping up their defensive rigor while capitalizing on scoring opportunities will be key to Boston maintaining their position at the top of the division.
Seeking Consistency Against the Odds
The Montreal Canadiens, with a record of 6-5-2, face a formidable challenge against the league-leading Boston Bruins. Ranked 18th in goals for and 26th in goals against, the Canadiens have displayed moments of brilliance but lack consistency. Center Sean Monahan, leading with six goals, and right winger Cole Caufield, top in points with 13, are crucial to Montreal’s offensive efforts. However, their defense needs significant improvement, evident from the 44 goals conceded. The absence of players like Rafael Harvey-Pinard, David Savard, and Kirby Dach due to injuries has impacted Montreal’s depth. Their power play, ranking 13th at 21.8%, shows potential, but their penalty kill struggles at 22nd with a 75.4% efficiency. Jake Allen, with a .910 save percentage and 3.35 goals allowed per game, needs to be at his best against Boston’s attack.
Montreal’s strategy against the Bruins should focus on exploiting any opportunities Boston’s aggressive style may present. The Canadiens need to capitalize on their power play chances and improve their penalty kill to withstand Boston’s offensive onslaught. Maintaining discipline to avoid penalties will be essential, considering Boston’s strong special teams. The Canadiens must also find ways to breach Boston’s top-ranked defense. Monahan and Caufield’s offensive skills, coupled with a collective team effort, could be key in unlocking Boston’s defensive setup. Montreal’s success will hinge on their ability to balance their own attack while containing Boston’s offensive threats. Facing the Bruins is a significant test for the Canadiens. To succeed, they must elevate their game, particularly in defense, and exploit any weaknesses in Boston’s armor. A focused and disciplined approach, coupled with tactical astuteness, could give Montreal a chance to upset the division leaders.
David’s Pick – Boston Bruins (-294)
The Boston Bruins enter this historic rivalry as clear favorites, not just by virtue of their top position in the Atlantic Division but also due to their overwhelming statistical superiority. With a commanding 11-1-1 record, the Bruins have demonstrated a level of play that is both consistent and dominant. Their defensive record is particularly impressive, leading the league with the fewest goals against, largely thanks to Jeremy Swayman’s outstanding .952 save percentage and giving up 1.49 goals per game. On the offensive front, David Pastrnak’s stellar performance with 10 goals and 10 assists underscores Boston’s capability to score from all angles. Their power play and penalty kill percentages, at 20.9% and 92.2% respectively, not only reflect their proficiency in special teams but also their ability to capitalize on opportunities while negating their opponents’ advantages.
The Montreal Canadiens, while showing promise, fall short in key areas when matched against the Bruins. Montreal’s 18th rank in goals for and 22nd in goals against highlights the challenges they face in both scoring and defending against a team of Boston’s caliber. Despite the efforts of players like Sean Monahan and Cole Caufield, the Canadiens’ inconsistent performance and less effective penalty kill (75.4%) are likely to be exploited by the Bruins. Given these statistics and the current form of both teams, the smart pick is undoubtedly the Boston Bruins. Their balance of offensive firepower and defensive mastery, coupled with Montreal’s struggles, especially on the defensive end, sets the stage for a Bruins victory. Expect Boston to continue their dominant run, leveraging their superior stats and overall team cohesion to secure a win at the Bell Centre.