Stars vs Wild Prediction 4/28/26 NHL Picks Today

The Minnesota Wild and Dallas Stars meet Tuesday in NHL Game 5 at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Stars vs. Wild Prediction. This article will include a Stars vs. Wild Pick.

Minnesota Wild Betting Preview

The Minnesota Wild look for back-to-back wins to take a crucial 3-2 series lead. The Wild have split their last 10 games.

The Minnesota Wild are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring 15.8 percent of their power play opportunities. Brock Faber leads Minnesota with 3 goals, Kirill Kaprizov has 5 assists and Matt Boldy has 21 shots on goal. Defensively, the Minnesota Wild are allowing 2.75 goals per game and are killing 57.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jesper Wallstedt has allowed 10 goals on 140 shots faced. Check out tonight’s game between the Ducks and Oilers. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars look to rebound from a game 4 loss to take a 3-2 series lead. The Stars have won 7 of their last 9 games.

The Dallas Stars are averaging 2.75 goals per game and are scoring on 42.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Jason Robertson leads Dallas with 4 goals, Matt Duchene has 5 assists, and Wyatt Johnston has 17 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 3.5 goals per game and are killing 84.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 13 goals on 133 shots faced.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last seven night games.
• The Wild have lost seven of their last eight night games at American Airlines Center.
• The Wild have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games after coming off overtime.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in four of their last five night games against Central Division opponents.
• The Wild have lost the second period in nine of their last 10 night games at American Airlines Center.

Why the Minnesota Wild will win

• The Wild have won six of their last seven games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
• The Stars have lost five of their last six games as favorites after coming off overtime.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 home games after coming off overtime.
• The Wild have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
• The Wild have won the first period in each of their last four games following a home win.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Wild’s last eight road games after coming off overtime has gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Stars’ last six night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the last six night games between two teams from the Central Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Wild’s last eight night games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Stars’ last eight night games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last seven playoff games.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his six previous appearances in Game 5s of a Western Conference First Round series.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (27) this season.

Minnesota Wild Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Boldy has scored at least one goal in four of the Wild’s last five road playoff games.
• Quinn Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight appearances with the Wild as underdogs.
• Quinn Hughes ranks 1st in the league for average time on ice (27:44) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (28.63%).
• The Minnesota Wild rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (25.19%).
• The Minnesota Wild rank 4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.87).

Stars vs Wild Injury Report

The Stars will be without Nils Lundkvist, Roope Hintz, and Nathan Bastian.

The Wild will be without Yakov Trenin and Mats Zuccarello.

Stars vs Wild Prediction

The Stars are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home, where they’ve played their best hockey and are proven in the postseason. Crucial game 5 with the series evened up, the home team should have the edge. However, the Wild have been the same team this season regardless of venue so they’ve earned some trust in tough environments. You can also argue the Wild have been the better team in this series overall.

We’ve also seen overtime in four of the last nine games between the Wild and Stars, including back-to-back overtime games in this series. The margin is tight. These games are approaching coin-flip territory with how closely past meetings have been. In these spots I want the favorable price. I’ll take a stab at the Wild and plus money.