Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Pliskova 9/7/22 US Open Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Karolina Pliskova and Aryna Sabalenka meet in the quarterfinal of the 2022 tennis US Open.

Karolina Pliskova is coming off a 3 sets win over Victoria Azarenka that took 33 games to decide. In the victory, Pliskova won 66 percent of her first serve points and 39 percent of her second serve points. Pliskova won 58 percent of her total service points and converted on 6 of her 14 break points. Pliskova got 71 percent of her first serves in play and hit 8 aces. Pliskova has now won 5 straight matches that have gone the distance. Pliskova looks to make her fifth career grand slam semifinal and second in the US Open. Pliskova is 4-5 in career grand slam quarterfinal matches. Pliskova has 37 career wins over top-10 players, and 1 of those wins came this year. Pliskova has won 8 of her last 10 matches on hard court.

Aryna Sabalenka is coming off a 3 sets win over Danielle Rose Collins that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Sabalenka won 60 percent of her first serve points and 51 percent of her second serve points. Sabalenka won 56 percent of her total service points and converted on 6 of her 15 break points. Sabalenka got 61 percent of her first serves in play and hit 8 aces. Sabalenka has split her last 10 matches that have gone the distance. Sabalenka looks to make her third career grand slam semifinal, and she’s 2-0 in grand slam quarterfinal matches. Sabalenka has won 8 of her last 10 matches on hard court.

These players have split the 4 meetings, with Pliskova winning the most recent match in 2021 Montreal. Pliskova has won the last 2 matches, while Sabalenka won both matches in 2018. They’ve split the 2 matches on hard court. 

Every match between these players have been very competitive, so you can make a case for either side. The difference for me is Pliskova hasn’t been as dominant with her serve the way we’re used to seeing, and that will bite her eventually. Sabalenka and her shotmaking ability is probably the difference here.

Give me Sabalenka and the cheap price, as she makes her third career grand slam semifinal.