Elena Rybakina vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction – Tennis Picks 05/19/2023

Randy ChambersMay 18, 2023
Elena Rybakina vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction – Tennis Picks 05/19/2023 player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

Elena Rybakina and Jelena Ostapenko meet in the semifinal of the 2023 tennis Italian Open. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Elena Rybakina Betting Preview

Elena Rybakina is coming off a 3 sets win over Iga Swiatek that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Rybakina won 74 percent of her first serve points and 40 percent of her second serve points. Rybakina won 59 percent of her total service points and converted on 1 of her 1 break point. Rybakina got 56 percent of his first serves in play and hit 10 aces. Rybakina  advanced after Swiatek retired in the third set that was tied 2-2. Rybakina now looks to make her third WTA 1000 final and her 14th final appearance of her career. Rybakina is 2-0 in career WTA 1000 semifinal matches. Rybakina has won 7 of her last 10 matches on clay court.

Jelena Ostapenko Betting Preview

Jelena Ostapenko is coming off a 3 sets win over Paula Badosa that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Ostapenko won 64 percent of her first serve points and 53 percent of her second serve points. Ostapenko won 60 percent of her total service points and converted on 7 of her 13 break points. Ostapenko got 61 percent of her first serves in play and hit 4 aces. Ostapenko has won 4 straight matches for the first time since the Australian Open. Ostapenko looks to make her third WTA 1000 final of her career and first since 2018 Miami. Ostapenko is 2-4 in career WTA 1000 semifinal matches. Ostapenko has 18 career wins over top-10 players, with 1 of those wins coming this year. Ostapenko has won 7 of her last 10 matches on clay court.

H2H History

Ostapenko has won 2 of the 3 meetings against Rybakina, but the lone loss was this year in the Australian Open. All 3 meetings were decided in straight sets. This will be the first match on clay.

Randy’s Pick

It’s nice to see Ostapenko string some wins together and get back on track, but I have to lean Rybakina in this match. Ostapenko’s serve comes and goes, and it was an issue as well against Rybakina when they clashed in Australia earlier this year. Ostapenko also has a history of folding once she gets into the business end of big tournaments.

Give me Rybakina and the reasonable price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:Elena Rybakina -175
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Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.