Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Prediction 9-29-23 WNBA Picks

The New York Liberty and Connecticut Sun meet Friday in game 3 of the WNBA semifinals playoffs at the Mohegan Sun Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

New York Liberty Betting Preview 

The New York Liberty look for back-to-back wins to take a 2-1 series lead. The Liberty have lost just 3 games since July 30. The New York Liberty are averaging 81.8 points on 41.2 percent shooting and allowing 78.8 points on 41.4 percent shooting. Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 18.3 points and 3.3 assists, while Breanna Stewart is averaging 16.8 points and 8.5 rebounds. Jonquel Jones is the third double-digit scorer, and Betnijah Laney is dishing 2.3 assists. The New York Liberty are shooting 30.9 percent from beyond the arc and 87.3 percent from the free throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 31.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.8 rebounds per game.

Connecticut Sun Betting Preview 

The Connecticut Sun look a win and have lost 5 home games since July 30. The Sun have won 9 of their last 14 games. The Connecticut Sun are averaging 82 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 72.8 points on 41 percent shooting. DeWanna Bonner is averaging 21 points and 4.2 assists, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 17.4 points and 6.4 rebounds. Tiffany Hayes is the third double-digit scorer and Rebecca Allen is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Connecticut Sun are shooting 41.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free throw line. The Connecticut Sun allowing 32.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.4 rebounds per game.

Trends

The Liberty are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Sun are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Friday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Liberty last 6 overall. The over is 13-6 in Sun last 19 home games. The Liberty are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Connecticut.

Randy’s Pick

As Ive said twice in this series, the Liberty are going to be favored because they’re simply the better team, no matter how you slice it. However, the value will always be with the Sun and the points, given that they’re not that far off. The Sun are experienced, good offensively and were first in scoring defense this year. It’s hard to turn down the Sun in the underdog role, especially when they’ve played the Liberty twice in this series, including stealing game 1. At home, give me the Sun and the free buckets.