New York Liberty vs Connecticut Sun Prediction 9-24-23 WNBA Picks

The Connecticut Sun and New York Liberty meet Sunday in game 1 of the WNBA semifinals playoffs at the Barclays Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Connecticut Sun Betting Preview 

The Connecticut Sun are coming off a 3-game series win over the Lynx. The Sun have won 8 of their last 12 games. The Connecticut Sun are averaging 85 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 72.3 points on 42.3 percent shooting. Alyssa Thomas is averaging 23 points and 5.7 rebounds, while DeWanna Bonner is averaging 22 points and 4.7 assists. Tyasha Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Tiffany Hayes is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Connecticut Sun are shooting 45.7 percent from beyond the arc and 72.5 percent from the free throw line. The Connecticut Sun allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.7 rebounds per game.

New York Liberty Betting Preview 

The New York Liberty are coming off a sweep of the Mystics. The Liberty have lost just 2 games since July 30. The New York Liberty are averaging 90 points on 42.9 percent shooting and allowing 80 points on 40.6 percent shooting. Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 20 points and 3.5 assists, while Jonquel Jones is averaging 19.5 points and 13 rebounds. Betnijah Laney is the third double-digit scorer, and Breanna Stewart is dishing 3 assists. The New York Liberty are shooting 28.1 percent from beyond the arc and 85.7 percent from the free throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 27.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.

Trends

The Sun are 22-10-1 ATS in their last 33 road games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 Sunday games. The Liberty are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The under is 9-3 in Sun last 12 Semi-Finals games. The over is 4-0 in Liberty last 4 overall. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York and 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

Randy’s Pick

The New York Liberty should be favored, and they’re the better team, but it seems like oddsmakers are overreacting just a bit. While the Liberty have won all 4 games against the Sun this year and some of those games weren’t close, Connecticut is too good of a team to turn down this many free points. The Sun have also been covering machines on the road dating back to last season. I have high hopes of a hard fought competitive series where most games are close. Give me the Sun and the free buckets.