MLB Picks

NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 9-13-24 MLB Picks

Boston Red Sox (74-71) vs. NY Yankees (84-62)
September 13, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -156 / Boston Red Sox +131; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This will be the second installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Yankees vs Red Sox pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Red Sox played the Baltimore Orioles this week. After splitting the first two installments of that set, on Wednesday in the rubber match Boston powered out a 5-3 comeback win in 10 innings. In the Thursday opener versus the Yankees, the Sox took a 10-inning loss 2-1. Starter Cooper Criswell posted 5.1 innings and one earned run.

As a starter for Friday, the Red Sox will send out Tanner Houck. So far Houck is 8-10 with a 3.24 ERA in 28 starts. Houck is 23-29 with a 3.61 career ERA in 102 games (69 starts).

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the Yankees’ side, they played the Kansas City Royals in their last series. After a similar split in the first pair, on Thursday New York eked out a 4-3 victory. On Thursday in the opener versus the Sox, the Yankees got a walk-off single from Juan Soto. Nestor Cortes went 5.0 innings with one earned run in the start.

In the starting pitcher role, Friday will be New York’s Clarke Schmidt. So far Schmidt is 5-3 with a 2.34 ERA in 12 starts. Schmidt is 19-18 with a 3.91 ERA in 79 games (49 starts).

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Red Sox’s last four games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Yankees’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five night games against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Volpe has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last five home games against AL East opponents.
  • Juan Soto has scored at least one run in seven of the Yankees’ last eight home games against AL East opponents.
  • Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one total base in each of the Yankees’ last 10 Friday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last nine games against AL East opponents.
  • Trent Grisham has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Trent Grisham has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against the Red Sox.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (51) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
  • Triston Casas has recorded at least one Single in six of his last seven road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Danny Jansen has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
  • Danny Jansen has recorded a hit in each of his last six appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
  • Danny Jansen has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Yankees.
  • Danny Jansen has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
  • Danny Jansen has scored a run in five of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Yankees.
  • Jarren Duran ranks T9th in the league in Steals (32) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (217).
  • The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (600).
  • The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (287).
  • The Boston Red Sox are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.

NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’m leaning toward the Yankees. Schmidt has pitched fairly well over his last three starts, but he’s just 0-2 in that time. In that trio, Schmidt has a combined three earned runs in 14.2 innings. As for Houck, he’s 0-2 in his last trio as well with 10 earned runs in 17.0 total frames.

On Thursday the Yankees spread out their seven hits quite well, but only got RBI from Gleyber Torres and Juan Soto. The pitching staff was great across the board, though. I’d like to see a few more runs from New York Friday but they should be set up well.

Andrew's Free Pick: New York Yankees -156

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

Related Articles

Back to top button