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NY Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 9-25-24 MLB Picks

Baltimore Orioles (86-70) vs. NY Yankees (92-64)
September 25, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -139 / Baltimore Orioles +118; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees meet Wednesday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Yankees vs Orioles pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The O’s played the Detroit Tigers in their weekend series. Baltimore won 7-1 in the Friday game but lost the next pair. On Tuesday versus the Yankees, the Orioles jumped out to a 2-0 lead and never looked back in a 5-3 win. Dean Kremer put up 5.0 innings in the start with one earned run.


The starter for Wednesday will be Baltimore’s Zach Eflin. This year Eflin is 10-9 with a 3.53 ERA in 27 starts. Eflin is 62-62 with a 4.16 ERA in 185 games (173 starts) over his career.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the Yankees’ side, they took a sweep over the Oakland Athletics this past weekend, winning 4-2, 10-0 and 7-4. On Tuesday New York had a couple of good innings at the plate but couldn’t keep pace. Clarke Schmidt lasted 5.1 innings as a starter with three earned on four hits and a walk.

It’ll be Nestor Cortes in the start for the Yankees on Wednesday. So far Cortes is 9-10 with a 3.77 ERA in 31 games (30 starts). In 135 career games (86 starts) Cortes is 33-21 with a 3.80 ERA.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Orioles’ last four road games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Yankees’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four home games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last three games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees’ last six games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against former teams.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one total base in each of the Yankees’ last 13 games against AL East opponents.
  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five games against the Orioles.
  • Anthony Rizzo has recorded a Double in three of the Yankees’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 13 games against AL East opponents.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Yankees’ last nine games against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles’ last 11 road games against the Yankees.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 11 games at Yankee Stadium.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded a single in each of the Orioles’ last eight games against the Yankees.
  • Anthony Santander has hit a home run in four of the Orioles’ last five road games against AL East opponents.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded a Double in four of the Orioles’ last five road games against AL East opponents.
  • Zach Eflin has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ryan O’Hearn has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against the Yankees.
  • Zach Eflin has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ramon Urias has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances.

NY Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’ll stick with the Yankees. Cortes is doing a solid job over his last three starts. In that trio, he’s 1-0 with 15.1 innings, one earned, seven hits and seven walks combined. As for Eflin, he hasn’t been too bad with six earned over his last 18.1 innings, but he’s gone just 0-2 in that trio.

On Tuesday New York really couldn’t get much going offensively despite a solo homer from Aaron Judge and three hits from Gleyber Torres (with one RBI). The pen wasn’t spectacular either with 3.2 frames, four hits, three walks, and two earned. I like the Yankees to bounce back behind Cortes in game two.

Andrew's Free Pick: New York Yankees -139

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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