Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction 3/9/25 NBA Picks Today

The San Antonio Spurs and the Minnesota Timberwolves collide at the Target Center on Sunday night. Here’s a Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs Spurs Pick.

The San Antonio Spurs have been doing it tough as they’ve lost six of their last eight games overall and they will be hoping for a better effort after getting trampled by the Kings in a 127-109 road defeat on Friday. Stephon Castle led the team with 25 points on 10 of 17 shooting off the bench, De’Aaron Fox added 16 points with eight assists while Harrison Barnes chipped in with 12 points. As a team, the Spurs shot 46 percent from the field and 16 of 42 from the 3-point line as they struggled to get going. They were always fighting an uphill battle after getting outscored by 36-16 in the second quarter to trail by as many as 27 points.

Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves are starting to heat up again as they are now gunning for a fifth straight victory after outlasting the Heat in a 106-104 road win on Friday. Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, and Mike Conley led the team in scoring with 15 points each, Anthony Edwards tallied 13 points with 13 rebounds and six assists while Julius Randle chipped in with 13 points, 10 rebounds, and nine assists. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 49 percent from the field and 18 of 45 from the 3-point line as they battled with the Heat in a tight contest that they were losing. Until they went on a pivotal 13-5 run late in the fourth quarter to pull in front and set up the gritty road win. The Wolves will take on the Nuggets after this game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won each of their last six home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Spurs have lost 10 of their last 11 road games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Spurs’ last eight games.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Spurs have won four of their last five games as underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Timberwolves have lost six of their last eight games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games as home favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last six games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (26.8).
• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (63.1%).
• The Spurs rank 30th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.5).
• The Spurs rank 1st in the league for blocks per game this season (6.2).

The Spurs are still missing Victor Wembenyama and Charles Bassey, while the Timberwolves are keeping an eye on Rudy Gobert and Luka Garza who are both questionable for this one. The Spurs haven’t been able to get anything going since their big man went down with injury and now they are up against a rising Timberwolves team who could be back to full strength for this matchup. The Timberwolves were always going to be heavy favorites in this matchup and I think it’s completely warranted as they’ve been getting it done as a team, rather than just relying on Edwards to carry their offense.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Minnesota -10.5

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