Denver Nuggets (41-23) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (53-11)
March 10, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Nuggets and the Oklahoma City Thunder collide once again at the Paycom Center on Monday night. Here’s a Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Nuggets Pick.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets have been in great form as they’ve won 13 of their last 17 games overall, but they will be hoping to bounce back in this one after getting trampled by the Thunder in a 127-103 road defeat last night. Nikola Jokic led the team with 24 points, 13 rebounds and nine assists, Michael Porter Jr added 24 points with 15 rebounds, Christian Braun added 19 points while Jamal Murray chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot just 41 percent from the field and 12 of 40 from the 3-point line, which was good enough to stay with the Thunder in a close contest. Until the Nuggets got smashed by 41-20 in a nightmare of a fourth quarter. No bench player scored more than seven points for the Nuggets and Aaron Gordon scored just five points in seven minutes before leaving the game with a calf injury.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been on a tear as they’ve reeled off 16 wins from their last 18 games and they will be gunning for an eighth straight victory after routing the Nuggets in a 127-103 home win last night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 40 points, eight rebounds and five assists, Jalen Williams added 26 points with nine rebounds and eight assists while Chet Holmgren chipped in with 14 points, eight rebounds and four blocks. As a team, the Thunder shot 48 percent from the field and 13 of 38 from the 3-point line as they battled with the Nuggets in a close contest. Before they made their move with a 41-point explosion in a wild fourth quarter to make it look easy in the end.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last seven games.
- The Nuggets have lost four of their last five games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games.
- The favorites have covered the spread in five of the Thunder’s last six games.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won each of their last 12 games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Thunder have lost seven of their last eight home games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Nuggets.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Nuggets.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Nuggets’ last 10 games against the Thunder following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of the Thunder’s last 10 home games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are slightly shorthanded with Aaron Gordon and Julian Strawther both on the injury report, while the Thunder are coming in with a full squad for this one. The Nuggets will be so disappointed with how they got blown out last night as they were right in the contest up until that point. It’s always tough to beat the same team twice in a row and I would expect a better effort from the Nuggets, but the Thunder’s defense is just relentless. I think it will spark them to another comfortable win at home once again.
