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Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction 1/31/26 NBA Picks Today

Dallas Mavericks (19-29) vs. Houston Rockets (29-17)
January 31, 2026 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Rockets -11.5; Over/Under: 220.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Rockets play host to the Dallas Mavericks at the Toyota Center on Saturday night. Here’s a Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Rockets vs Mavericks Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks have cooled off recently as they’ve dropped their last three games and they will be hoping to bounce back in this one after falling painfully short to the resurgent Hornets in a 123-121 loss on Thursday. Cooper Flagg led the team with 49 points, 10 rebounds and three assists on 20 of 29 shooting, Klay Thompson added 16 points off the bench while Brandon Williams chipped in with 15 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot 47 percent from the field and 11 of 33 from the 3-point line as they exploded for 38 points in the second quarter to overcome an early 15-point deficit and tie the scores late in the fourth quarter. Before the Hornets’ Kon Knueppel sunk the game-winning free throws with just 4.1 seconds left on the clock to snatch the game away.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets have been in great form lately as they’ve won seven of their last 10 games overall and they are hoping to stay hot after making light work of the Hawks in a 104-86 road win on Thursday. Kevin Durant led the team with 31 points, five rebounds and four assists, Jabari Smith Jr added 14 points with eight rebounds and five blocks while Amen Thompson chipped in with nine points, seven rebounds, five assists and three blocks. As a team, the Rockets shot 42 percent from the field and 12 of 31 from the 3-point line as they did all their damage in the second half, dominating the Hawks by 61-44 to make it look easy after a closely contested first half.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

  • The Rockets have won each of their last 12 home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last seven road games against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight road games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The home team has covered the spread in five of the last six games between the Mavericks and Rockets.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won each of their last two games as underdogs against the Rockets following a loss.
  • The Rockets have lost six of their last nine games as favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the Rockets’ last four games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Rockets’ last 12 games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Eight of the Mavericks’ last nine games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction

The Mavericks are still missing Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving, and Dereck Lively II, while the Rockets are still missing Fred VanVleet and Steven Adams. The Mavericks have gone cold again, and they will be disappointed that they weren’t able to beat the Hornets on Thursday despite a career-high 49 points from Cooper Flagg. Meanwhile, the Rockets are heating up again and are coming into this one fresh off a dominant win over the Hawks. The line is hefty for this one, so while I like the Rockets to get a comfortable win at home, I think the Mavericks will hang around long enough to get the backdoor cover in the end.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Dallas +11.5

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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