NBA Picks
Rockets vs Lakers Prediction 3/18/26 NBA Picks Today
LA Lakers (43-25) vs. Houston Rockets (41-26)
March 18, 2026 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Rockets -2.5; Over/Under: 221.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Rockets play host to the Los Angeles Lakers once again at the Toyota Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Rockets vs. Lakers prediction. This article will include a Rockets vs. Lakers pick.
Los Angeles Lakers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Lakers have been on a tear, as they’ve won nine of their last 10 games overall and they will be gunning for a seventh straight victory after sneaking past the Rockets in a 100-92 road win on Monday. Luka Doncic led the team with 36 points, six rebounds and four assists on 14 of 27 shooting. LeBron James added 18 points with five assists, while Austin Reaves chipped in with 15 points and five assists. As a team, the Lakers shot 44 percent from the field and eight of 34 from the 3-point line as they struggled to get going and trailed going into halftime before they took the lead late in the third quarter thanks to back-to-back 3-pointers from Doncic. The game was close all the way till the final buzzer but the Lakers played excellent defense to limit the Rockets to just 12 points in the fourth quarter.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets have been in decent shape, as they’ve won seven of their past 12 games overall, but they will be looking for some revenge in this one after coming up short against the Lakers on Monday. Jabari Smith Jr. led the team with 22 points on nine of 17 shooting, Amen Thompson added 19 points with 12 rebounds and five assists, while Kevin Durant chipped in with 18 points. As a team, the Rockets shot 48 percent from the field and a miserly five of 26 from the 3-point line as they hit the ground running and looked to be in control after taking the lead into halftime, but they started to miss their open 3-point looks and could only manage 35 points in the second half to come up just short in a game that involved 13 lead changes. Tari Eason had a rough game as he shot just two of 11 for his five points.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won each of their last nine home games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Lakers have lost each of their last seven games on the road as underdogs.
- The Lakers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs.
- The home team has covered the spread in eight of the Lakers’ last nine games.
Why the Los Angeles Lakers will win
- The Lakers have won each of their last six games.
- The Rockets have lost each of their last five night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Lakers have covered the spread in each of their last six games.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Toyota Center against Lakers teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Lakers’ last seven road games against Southwest Division opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Rockets’ last six games as favorites following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
Houston Rockets Player Facts
- Amen Thompson has recorded 12+ rebounds in two consecutive appearances—the equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Kevin Durant ranks 7th in the league for second-chance points (195) this season.
Los Angeles Lakers Player Facts
- Luka Doncic ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (32.9) this season.
- Deandre Ayton ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for FG% (66.7%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (48.2).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (39.6).
- The Lakers rank 1st in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.6).
- The Lakers rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (49.8%).
Rockets vs Lakers Prediction
The Lakers are still missing Maxi Kleber, while the Rockets have ruled out Steven Adams and Jae’Sean Tate. The Lakers are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now and they will be fully confident in this matchup after winning a close one on Monday, but the Rockets were far from their best and they were still right there with a chance to win it until the very end. It’s always tough to beat the same team twice in a row in their own building, but I still don’t like the line for this one. I think we will see a better effort from the Rockets, but the Lakers are too tempting as the underdogs in this spot. This should be another close one, but I will stick with the Lakers and the points in this one.