Royals vs Yankees Prediction 5/25/26 MLB Picks Today
NY Yankees (31-22) vs. Kansas City Royals (22-31)
May 25, 2026 3:40 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Royals 129 / NY Yankees -156; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Royals vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Monday, May 25th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Kansas City Royals Betting Preview
The Kansas City Royals are 22-31 this season after they won two out of three against the Mariners by scores of 0-2, 5-0, and 8-6. In game three, Kansas City led 8-3 after eight innings, but they allowed three runs in the ninth and barely hung on for the win. The Royals recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Perez, who went 3-4 with three RBIs. Lugo allowed six hits and three earned runs over 6.1 innings for the win, while Schreiber picked up a hold. Prior to that series, Kansas City lost all three against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Cardinals.
This season, Kansas City has a 4.19 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they have scored 207 runs with a .238 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Salvador Perez has led the Royals with eight home runs and 24 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added seven home runs and 23 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Wacha, who is 4-2 with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 63.1 innings pitched this season.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 31-22 this year after they split two games with the Rays by scores of 2-4 and 2-0. In game two, New York was shutout through eight innings, but they won on a walk-off home run in the ninth. The Yankees recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Judge, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Weathers allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Hill picked up the win in relief. Prior to that series, New York split four games with the Blue Jays and lost two out of three against the Mets.
This season, New York has a 3.24 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 254 runs with a .235 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Aaron Judge has led the Yankees with 17 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Ben Rice has added 16 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 6-1 with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 52.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Kansas City Royals will win
- The Yankees have lost each of their last four games as road favorites following a win.
- The Royals have won four of their last five games as home underdogs following a win.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games.
- The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Kauffman Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road day games.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last 11 games against the Royals.
- The Royals have lost each of their last 11 games against the Yankees following a win.
- The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last 10 day games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games against AL Central opponents.
- The Royals have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games at Kauffman Stadium.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last six road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Royals’ last five day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Royals’ last 11 games as underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four road games.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in two of the Royals’ last three home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL East opponents.
- Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T3rd in the league in Steals (16) this season.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Royals.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against the Royals.
- Ben Rice ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.624) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Royals rank 27th in the league for walks allowed this season (215).
- The Royals rank T25th in the league for runs scored this season (207).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (75).
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (233).
Royals vs Yankees Prediction
Kansas City comes into this matchup after winning a series against the Mariners and they are looking to build some momentum here. The Royals are 15-14 at home this year, while the Yankees are 14-13 on the road. New York has dropped three of their last four games and they have scored a total of five runs in those four. The Yankees are starting Warren, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Wacha has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four straight. Both teams are struggling, but the Yankees have the much better lineup. Take New York here.