Colorado Rockies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 8/5/26 MLB Picks Today
Tampa Bay Rays (67-46) vs. Colorado Rockies (45-69)
August 5, 2026 3:10 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies 148 / Tampa Bay Rays -158; Over/Under: 11.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Tampa Bay Rays and the Colorado Rockies meet Wednesday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Nick Martinez for the start here and Martinez is 10-3 with a 2.77 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. Tomoyuki Sugano will start for the Rockies and is 11-4 with a 4.47 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Recap
The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to add on to their 9-7 win over the Rockies from Tuesday to improve to 67-46 this season. After this series, the Rays will head on the road for a series against the Seattle Mariners.
Rays Win Back-To-Back Games
Yandy Diaz has 125 hits with 19 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 63 RBIs while Chandler Simpson has 113 hits with 6 triples and 20 RBIs. Nick Fortes has 67 hits with 14 doubles, 4 home runs and 28 RBIs and Jonathan Aranda has 112 hits with 18 doubles, 14 homers and 65 RBIs. Junior Caminero’s also added 118 hits with 18 doubles, 30 home runs and 66 RBIs.
Colorado Rockies Recap
The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of Tampa Bay on Tuesday to sit at 45-69 this season. After this series, the Rockies will head on the road for a series against the St. Louis Cardinals.
Rockies Drop Two In A Row
TJ Rumfield has 115 hits with 23 doubles, 2 triples, 13 home runs and 58 RBIs while Ezequiel Tovar has 67 hits with 18 doubles, 8 home runs and 35 RBIs. Hunter Goodman’s added 99 hits with 16 doubles, 33 home runs and 65 RBIs. Troy Johnston has 88 hits with 24 doubles, 3 home runs and 41 RBIs. Willi Castro also has 88 hits with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 46 RBIs.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: August 5, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano Record this season: 11-4 ERA: 4.47
- Home Record: 7-2
- Last 5 against Rays: 1-0
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
- The Rockies have won five of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Rays have lost each of their last three games as road favorites following an extra innings win.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games against American League opponents.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games following a win.
- The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road day games.
- The Rockies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Rays have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Nick Martinez Record this season: 10-3 ERA: 2.77
- Road Record: 3-1
- Last 5 against Rockies: 2-1
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rockies have lost each of their last nine home games after going to extra innings.
- The Rays have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against NL West opponents.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Rockies have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
- The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the last six games between the Rays and Rockies at Coors Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Rays’ last six day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rockies’ last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rays’ last six games as road favorites.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Mickey Moniak has hit a home run in each of the Rockies’ last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Tomoyuki Sugano has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances.
- Tomoyuki Sugano has recorded three or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ezequiel Tovar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Hunter Goodman ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Junior Caminero has hit at least one home run in four of the Rays’ last five games against NL opponents.
- Chandler Simpson has recorded two or more hits in each of the Rays’ last three games.
- Nick Martinez has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite against NL West opponents.
- Nick Martinez has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
- Junior Caminero ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.553) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockies rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (209).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.52).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (814).
- The Rays rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.259).
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction
I’m backing the Rockies here. The question for a while was how long can Nick Martinez keep pitching as well as he has for much of the season and we got that answer in his last start as he gave up 6 runs and 4 home runs total. Colorado has somehow found ways to win games left and right with Sugano as the starter, and I think that the Rockies keep up the winning ways in this one. Give me Colorado.