Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction Football Picks Today 10/8/26

The South Alabama Jaguars and Arkansas State Red Wolves meet Thursday in week 6 college football action at Centennial Bank Stadium. Here’s an Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Prediction. This article will include an Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Pick.

South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview

The South Alabama Jaguars lost to Kentucky, beat UL Monroe, and they play Marshall next. South Alabama has split its last 12 games. Jared Hollins is completing 61 percent of his passes for 779 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Brendan Jenkins and Anthony Eager have combined for 624 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Jeremiah Jones-Thomas has 21 receptions.

The South Alabama Jaguars’ ground game is averaging 205.2 yards per contest, and PJ Martin leads the way with 328 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, South Alabama is allowing 31.5 points and 411.6 yards per game. Cole Blaylock leads the South Alabama Jaguars with 32 tackles, Damyrion Darby has 1.5 sacks, and Damyrion Darby has 2 interceptions.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview

The Arkansas State Red Wolves beat Kennesaw State, lost to Louisiana, and they play Southern Miss next. Arkansas State has split its last 10 games. Trey Owens is completing 66.9 percent of his passes for 1,043 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Hunter Summers and Chauncy Cobb have combined for 521 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Kaylen Bonelli has 15 receptions.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves’ ground game is averaging 139.8 yards per contest, and Solomon Baggett leads the way with 211 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 23.4 points and 399.6 yards per game. Joe Drew leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 46 tackles, Ryan Reese has 1.5 sacks, and Five Hamilton has 1 interception.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• The home team has won each of South Alabama’s last seven games.
• South Alabama has lost each of its last eight October games as an underdog.
• Arkansas State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
• South Alabama has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four October games as a road underdog.
• The home team has won the first half in each of South Alabama’s last eight games.
• The home team has won the first quarter in seven of South Alabama’s last eight games.

Why the South Alabama Jaguars will win

• South Alabama has won three of its last four games as an underdog against Arkansas State.
• Arkansas State has lost three of its last four games as a favorite against teams from Alabama.
• Arkansas State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as a favorite against teams from Alabama.
• The underdog has covered the spread in six of Arkansas State’s last seven games at Centennial Bank Stadium.
• South Alabama has won the first quarter in each of its last five Thursday road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• South Alabama has won the first half in four of its last five games against Arkansas State.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last five games between South Alabama and Arkansas State have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of South Alabama’s last five October games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Chauncy Cobb ranks 3rd in the Sun Belt Conference for receptions (25) this season.

South Alabama Jaguars Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 6, Anthony Eager ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (27.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Arkansas State ranks T136th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (0.6).
• Arkansas State ranks 128th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (197.2).
• South Alabama ranks 5th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (12.8).
• South Alabama ranks T132nd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (9.8).

Arkansas State vs South Alabama Prediction

We’re dealing with a fairly high total, but I’m still looking at the over. South Alabama is dirt defensively, which includes being 119th in total defense and 119th in total defense. The over has cashed in 8 of South Alabama’s last 10 games. Arkansas State doesn’t have much offensive firepower, but that should change in this spot against this group. defensively Red Wolves is 110th in total defense, 127th in rush defense and 71st in scoring defense. Defense appears to be optional in this game. We’re going to see points. I’m not even giving the side any attention. Give me the over.