Hawaii vs New Mexico Prediction 11-30-24 College Football Picks
New Mexico Lobos (5-6) vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (4-7)
November 30, 2024 11:00 pm EDT
The Line: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +2.5 / New Mexico Lobos -2.5; Over/Under: +60.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New Mexico Lobos and Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors meet Saturday in week 14 college football action at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Here’s a Hawaii vs New Mexico Prediction. This article will include a Hawaii vs New Mexico Pick.
New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview
The New Mexico Lobos beat San Diego State and Washington State. New Mexico has won 3 of its last 4 road games. Devon Dampier is completing 57.7 percent of his passes for 2,592 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. Luke Wysong and Ryan Davis have combined for 1,455 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Caleb Medford has 17 receptions.
The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 248.9 yards per contest, and Dampier leads the way with 1,065 yards and 16 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 38 points and 483.5 yards per game. Christian Ellis leads the New Mexico Lobos with 92 tackles, Moso’oipala Tuitele has 4 sacks and Dimitri Johnson has 1 interception.
Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors Betting Preview
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors lost to UNLV and Utah State. The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors have split their last 6 home games. Brayden Schager is completing 57.8 percent of his passes for 2,591 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions. Nick Cenacle and Pofele Ashlock have combined for 1,178 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns, while Dekel Crowdus has 5 receptions.
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors ground game is averaging 97.3 yards per contest, and Landon Sims leads the way with 334 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Hawai’i is allowing 25.6 points and 367.5 yards per game. Jamih Otis leads the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors with 48 tackles, Jackie Johnson III has 5 sacks and Cam Stone has 2 interceptions.
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
- The favorite has won each of Hawaii’s last six games at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex.
- New Mexico has covered the spread in four of its last five games in November.
- Hawaii has lost the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of New Mexico’s last eight November road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of Hawaii’s last six games as a home underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Hawaii ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.3).
- Hawaii ranks T131st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (75.0).
- New Mexico ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (11.7).
- New Mexico ranks 133rd among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (97.6).
Hawaii vs New Mexico Prediction
The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are usually a tough out at home, and you can make a case for the points. However, Hawaii continues to come up short and just doesn’t have the offense to put teams away. The New Mexico Lobos have quietly played decent ball lately, with wins in 4 of their last 6 games, and they can become bowl-eligible for the first time since 2016 with a victory. Big game for New Mexico. I’ll ride with the Lobos due to the motivation on their side.