Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 7-11-24 Picks

The Atlanta Braves and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Thursday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will send out Max Fried for the start here and Fried is 7-4 with a 3.18 ERA and 88 strikeouts this season. In his career, Fried is 1-0 with a 4.84 ERA and 20 strikeouts against Arizona. Brandon Pfaadt will start for Arizona and is 3-6 with a 4.19 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season. This will be Pfaadt’s second career start against Atlanta.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this one looking to bounce back and win the series after their 7-5 loss to the Diamondbacks on Wednesday. Atlanta will at worst get a split from this four-game series, but a series win would give them back-to-back series wins after their series win against the Philadelphia Phillies this past weekend.

Braves Looking To Close Distance In NL East

Going into Wednesday, Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with 98 hits including 23 home runs and 73 RBIs while Orlando Arcia has 18 doubles and Ozzie Albies has a team-high 24 doubles, logging 86 hits as well this season. Ronald Acuna Jr. has a team-high 16 stolen bases as well this season but is out for the season with a torn ACL. Matt Olson has 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 42 RBIs with a team-high 103 strikeouts and Austin Riley has 17 doubles with a pair of triples.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last four home games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Braves have won each of their last four night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games against National League opponents following a home win.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks will look to salvage a split from the series after bouncing back with their win in Wednesday’s matchup. The win gives the Diamondbacks a chance to keep their series unbeaten streak alive after knocking off the Dodgers, A’s and Padres over the last two weeks.

Diamondbacks Trying To Get Back To .500

Entering Wednesday’s matchup, Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 96 hits in addition to a .281 batting average and 19 doubles with 17 home runs and 51 RBIs while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also has 13 home runs and 55 RBIs as well this season. Corbin Carroll has a team-high 16 stolen bases while Eugenio Suarez has 100 strikeouts this season. Christian Walker also has 22 home runs with a team-high 65 RBIs of his own in addition to 100 strikeouts this season.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Braves have lost five of their last six road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven road games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’m going to take a shot on Arizona here. I still haven’t really been impressed with a lot of Atlanta’s efforts this season and while Fried’s been better on the road, Arizona still does a decent job of hitting left-handed pitching this season. Atlanta can get to Brandon Pfaadt, but Pfaadt’s pitched better at home as it is. The only concern is Arizona’s bullpen, but I think the Diamondbacks do enough to earn the split at a nice plus price as a home underdog. Give me Arizona.