MLB Picks

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5-3-24 Picks

Seattle Mariners (17-14) vs. Houston Astros (11-20)
May 3, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros -118 / Seattle Mariners +100; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Nissan Arena. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 17-14 this season after wins over the Diamondbacks and Braves. The Seattle Mariners have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight games. The Seattle Mariners have split their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 33 hits and 11 RBI, while Ty France and Mitch Haniger have combined for 48 hits and 26 RBI.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 11-20 on the year, but just beat the Rockies and Guardians. The Houston Astros have scored 20 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games. The Houston Astros have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 45 hits and 11 RBI, while Jeremy Pena and Kyle Tucker have combined for 74 hits and 33 RBI.

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Pitching Matchup

George Kirby gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 3-2 with a 4.18 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. Kirby has allowed 15 runs in his last 25.2 innings while walking just 2. Kirby has a 5.00 ERA and .325 allowed batting average in 9 road innings. Kirby is 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Ronel Blanco gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 3-0 with a 1.65 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. Blanco has given up 16 hits and 6 runs through 32.2 innings this season. Blanco has a 1.20 ERA and .104 allowed batting average through 15 home innings. Blanco is 0-1 with a 6.48 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Houston Astros Team Facts

  • The Astros have lost each of their last nine night games following a home win.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 night games at Minute Maid Park following a win.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last six games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in 13 of their last 16 games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in 11 of their last 14 games as home favorites against AL West opponents.

Seattle Mariners Team Facts

  • The Mariners have won each of their last nine games against AL West opponents following a home loss.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Mariners have led after 3 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last four road games.

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

You can make a case for the Seattle Mariners given this recent stretch they’ve been on. However, the Astros are playing their best ball of the season this week and finally showing signs of returning to the Astros we all know and love. Ronel Blanco has also pitched at a very high level through 32.2 innings, and he’s been even better at home. You could argue Blanco is the most underacted pitcher at the moment. This price is extremely cheap and makes this one of the better bets on the board for Friday. Give me the Astros to win game 1 of the series against the Mariners. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Houston Astros -118

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

Related Articles

Back to top button