Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 9-28-23 MLB Picks
Baltimore Orioles (99-59) vs Boston Red Sox (76-82)
2023-09-28 18:35:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles / Boston Red Sox --- Over/Under:
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The Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles clash Thursday in game 1 of an MLB series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Red Sox look to snap a 4-game losing streak. The Red Sox are 1 of 8 AL teams eliminated from playoff contention, so they’re in the spoiler role. The Red Sox pitching staff is 21st in ERA (4.59), 20th in WHIP (1.35) and 25th in quality starts (44). The Red Sox offense is 9th in runs per game (4.82), 3rd in batting average (.262) and 17th in homers (181). Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 154 hits and 98 RBI, while Masataka Yoshida and Justin Turner have combined for 301 hits and 167 RBI. Chris Sale gets the ball, and he is 6-4 with a 4.42 ERA and 123 strikeouts this season. Sale is 10-5 with a 3.80 ERA and 159 strikeouts in his career against the Orioles.
Boston Red Sox Team Facts
The Red Sox have lost each of their last eight night games against AL East opponents.
The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against AL East opponents.
The Red Sox have won the first inning in each of their last five Thursday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Red Sox have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last seven night games against opponents that held a winning record.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five road games against AL East opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Orioles look to build on their 4-game winning streak. The Orioles have a 2.5-game lead in the AL East. The Orioles pitching staff is 9th in ERA (3.96), 10th in WHIP (1.25) and 9th in quality starts (67). The Orioles’ offense is 7th in runs per game (5.06), 8th in batting average (.257) and 16th in homers (182). Adley Rutschman leads the Orioles with 160 hits and 79 RBI, while Anthony Santander and Austin Hays have combined for 292 hits and 159 RBI. Dean Kremer gets the ball, and he is 12-5 with a 4.25 ERA and 149 strikeouts this season. Kremer is 1-4 with a 7.52 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the Red Sox.
Baltimore Orioles Team Facts
The Orioles have won each of their last eight night games against American League opponents following a win.
The Orioles have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents following a win.
The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games.
The Orioles have led after 7 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three night games between the Red Sox and Orioles.
Matchup/League Facts
The Baltimore Orioles rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (304).
The Baltimore Orioles rank 6th in the league for RBI’s this season (773).
The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (336).
The Boston Red Sox rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (1411).
Randy’s Pick
The Red Sox have nothing to play for at this stage, and they’re playing more and more like it with the losses piling up. Chris Sale has been solid this month, allowing 7 earned runs in his last 20 innings, but the question is what we’re getting from the Red Sox as a team that may have checked out. The Orioles are fighting for a division title, and the Orioles have won 12 of the last 14 games Dean Kremer has pitched. The Red Sox may have the starting pitching edge, but the O’s are the better team with more to play for and is at home. Give me the Orioles.