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Rays vs Brewers Prediction 5/9/25 MLB Picks Today

Milwaukee Brewers (19-19) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (16-21)
May 9, 2025 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -110 / Milwaukee Brewers -110; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Brewers and Tampa Bay Rays meet Friday in MLB action at George M. Steinbrenner Field. Here’s a Rays vs Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Rays vs Brewers Pick.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 19-19 on the year and play the Guardians, Twins, and Orioles next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .237 on the season, have a .315 OBP, and a .358 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 4.27 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Brice Turang leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 42 hits and 16 RBI, while Jackson Chourio and Sal Frelick have combined for 76 hits and 33 RBI.

Jose Quintana gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 4-1 with a 2.83 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. Quintana is 1-5 with a 5.40 ERA and 52 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 16-21 on the year and play the Blue Jays, Marlins, and Astros next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .243 on the season, have a .309 OBP, and a .365 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 38 hits and 20 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 68 hits and 33 RBI.

Zack Littell gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 2-5 with a 4.61 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. Littell is 0-1 with a 1.00 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Rays have won eight of their last nine home games following an extra-innings loss.
  • The Brewers have lost each of their last four road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 home games against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against AL East opponents.
  • The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last four games against AL East opponents.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against AL East opponents.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against AL East opponents.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Rays have lost each of their last eight night games following a home loss.
  • The road team has won 13 of the Rays’ last 14 games.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last eight Friday road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
  • The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home night games.
  • The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine home games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of the Rays’ last four home games against NL opponents.
  • Yandy Diaz has recorded a Double in three of his four previous home appearances against the Brewers.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Rays’ last six games against NL Central opponents.
  • Yandy Diaz has scored at least one run in four of the Rays’ last five home games against NL opponents.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Josh Lowe has recorded a Single in each of his last four appearances.
  • Jose Caballero ranks T10th in the league in Steals (9) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • William Contreras has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last nine road games against AL East opponents.
  • Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Jose Quintana has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Jose Quintana has recorded five or more strikeouts in 16 of his last 21 appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • William Contreras has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
  • William Contreras has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 road appearances.
  • Sal Frelick has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 14 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jose Quintana ranks T9th in the league for Wins (4) this season.

Rays vs Brewers Prediction

The Rays are free-falling with losses in seven of their last nine games, and an extra innings loss last night doesn’t help the confidence. Littell has had moments this season, but he’s been hittable overall, allowing 37 hits and 21 runs in 41 innings, while allowing 10 home runs. Quintana is coming off a rough performance against the Cubs, but he’s been sharp overall, giving up 26 hits and nine runs in 28.2 innings. Quintana has been at his best on the road, where he has a 1.00 ERA and .234 allowed batting average in 18 innings. The fact that this game is a pick ’em price with the way the Rays are playing is strange. Give me the Brewers.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -110

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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